FNUS73 KDMX 161653 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVER LAKE TATMAN TRACT...IOWA DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 1053 AM CST FRI NOV 16 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CST ON NOVEMBER 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST TODAY AND THE WIND WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (800-24800 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........2 4 5 5 6 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............42 45 48 46 44 RH..............44 41 37 43 49 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 9 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S SE EYE LVL WND SPD.5 6 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST. 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.9 2.3 1.6 0.9 MIXNG WIND DIR..S S S S S MIXNG WIND SPD..10 12 13 12 9 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1800-2600 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........6 8 11 12 13 17 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............41 37 36 36 35 35 RH..............59 67 75 82 85 85 20 FT WIND......SE 10 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 12 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 9 S 9 EYE LVL WND GST.15 15 15 15 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......SE 8 S 9 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 12 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 22 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 33 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (2700-71900 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 22 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........27 33 41 52 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............35 40 51 56 RH..............89 79 54 43 20 FT WIND......S 13G25 S 15G20 S 22G30 S 21G30 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 9G25 S 11G20 S 16G30 S 15G30 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 1100 2500 MIXNG WIND......S 13 S 14 S 30 S 33 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...BOKSA REQUESTED BY...STEVE WOODRUFF TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121116.SILVE.01/DMX