FNUS73 KPAH 161354 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR NEVILLE CREEK...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 754 AM CST FRI NOV 16 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0805 CST ON NOVEMBER 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN DRY AND COOL WEATHER ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE STRONG NOCTURNAL INVERSION THAT SETS UP EACH NIGHT WILL BE SLOW TO MIX OUT EACH MORNING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE 30 PERCENT RANGE EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE ONLY CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS COMES MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...AND IT REMAINS A SMALL ONE AT THIS POINT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 56. RH..................73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2000-2600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............39 43 47 50 52 54 54 54 53 49 RH..............73 64 57 51 46 43 41 41 43 50 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.4 1.9 1.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.6 10 10 11 12 12 12 12 11 11 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 5 4 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34. RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH UNTIL EARLY EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 42 40 38 38 36 RH..............56 65 71 75 75 75 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 4 NE 3 NE 2 NE 2 NE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....900 500 200 200 100 100 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 7 NE 6 NE 3 NE 2 NE 2 NE 2 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58. RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1100-2800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............35 44 54 56 RH..............77 66 45 38 20 FT WIND......NE 3G5 NE 4G10 NE 4G10 NE 4G10 MIX HGT (FT)....100 800 2000 2800 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 2 E 8 E 9 E 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...FOREST SERVICE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121116.NEVIL.01/PAH