FNUS71 KCTP 172037 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR CHAPMAN DAM FIRE...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 337 PM EST SAT NOV 17 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1521 EST ON NOVEMBER 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... DRY AND TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. FINE DEAD FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO DRY OUT BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. TIME (EST) 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............9 8 6 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................48 44 42 RH..................49 55 58 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E 20 FT WIND SPD......2 2 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.1 3.2 3.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.....6 7 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 LAL.................1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28. MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................40 38 37 36 35 35 34 34 33 32 32 30 RH..................63 67 69 71 73 74 76 77 77 76 76 79 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.7 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.....E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....9 10 10 10 9 9 8 7 8 8 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............8 8 8 7 6 6 5 5 7 11 14 18 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................29 30 33 36 39 41 44 46 48 50 47 45 RH..................82 76 68 61 55 51 48 44 41 38 43 46 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE E E 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...SUSAN BISSELL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121117.CHAPM.01/CTP