FNUS73 KDMX 191542 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR KELLERTON EAST LEK...IOWA DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 942 AM CST MON NOV 19 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON NOVEMBER 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... SOUTHERLY FLOW EXPECTED TODAY AHEAD OF A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH AXIS STRETCHING FROM WRN IOWA NORTHWARD INTO WRN MN. THIS TROUGH AXIS WILL PUSH THROUGH THE STATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT...WITH WINDS BRIEFLY SHIFTING AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TO BUILD INTO THE STATE FOR TUESDAY. DEWPOINTS TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY IN THE SOUTHERLY FLOW. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5200-45400 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........6 6 6 6 5 5 5 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............55 58 60 61 61 60 58 RH..............61 57 53 51 51 53 57 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 13 12 9 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.10 10 9 9 6 5 4 EYE LVL WND GST.20 20 15 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 2.5 1.6 MIXNG WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW S MIXNG WIND SPD..20 17 17 16 15 12 8 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1000-3000 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........5 8 12 15 15 14 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............56 52 49 47 45 42 RH..............62 66 71 71 73 82 20 FT WIND......S 5 W 5 W 5 NW 6 NW 7 NW 7 20 FT WIND GUST. EYE LEVEL WIND..S 4 W 4 W 4 NW 4 NW 5 NW 5 EYE LVL WND GST. MIX HGT (FT)....800 400 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......S 5 SW 3 SW 5 W 6 NW 7 NW 8 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 TO 12 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2000-18700 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........14 10 6 5 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............40 45 56 60 RH..............85 73 49 44 20 FT WIND......N 6 N 6 N 5 NW 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 4G5 N 4G5 N 4G5 NW 4G5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 1600 2300 MIXNG WIND......N 9 N 12 N 9 NW 9 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...BEERENDS REQUESTED BY...NATURAL RESOURCE TECH 2 TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121119.KELLE.01/DMX