FNUS76 KMFR 191831
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MC PILE BURN TROUT CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1031 AM PST MON NOV 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON NOVEMBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

UPDATED TO INCLUDE 20 FOOT WINDS.

.DISCUSSION...RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AS A STRONG STORM
BEARS DOWN ON THE REGION. SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO AROUND 5000
FEET WEDNESDAY BUT PRECIPITATION WILL BE ENDING BY THEN. THIS
SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE STRONG SOUTH WINDS OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...BUT LESSER WIND IS EXPECTED IN THE SHELTERED LOWER
TERRAIN. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP
TUESDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. LATER WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY LOOKS MAINLY DRY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN. SNOW LEVEL 5500-6000 FEET. BECOMING BREEZY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MIN HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN. SNOW LEVEL NEAR 6500 FEET. BREEZY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20
                    MPH.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES. A PERIOD OF GUSTY SOUTH
                    WINDS POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO
                    10 TO 15 MPH EARLY EVENING.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL 5000 FEET. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...DONNA SAGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121119.MCPIL.01/MFR