FNUS71 KRNK 191231 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR HARRIS CREEK-UPDATE...NCFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 731 AM EST MON NOV 19 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON NOVEMBER 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW CLOUDS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE AREA TODAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST AND LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO ERODE BY EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION WITH SOME BREAKS IN THE OVERCAST POSSIBLE BY THAT TIME. SOME PATCY LIGHT DRIZZLE MAY OCCUR IN HIGHER...EAST FACING... UPSLOPE AREAS EARLY THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING WILL DIMINISH TO NEAR CALM BY EVENING AND DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. CRITICAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 57. RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 0 TO 3 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 0 TO 3 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. TIME (EST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............78 76 75 75 73 69 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................53 54 55 56 55 53 RH..................62 58 57 57 58 63 20 FT WIND DIR......NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 5 5 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.2 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE NE NE NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.....3 3 2 2 2 2 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40. RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 2 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............64 58 53 49 48 53 58 62 65 68 70 69 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................51 50 48 47 46 45 45 44 44 43 43 42 RH..................68 72 75 78 81 83 82 84 86 87 88 89 20 FT WIND DIR......N N N NE NE N W W W NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.3 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE NE NE NE N N N N NW NW W SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...BEASLEY REQUESTED BY...BRENT TRIPLETT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121119.HARRI.02/RNK