FNUS71 KCTP 201355 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 36 RX...ARMY NATIONAL GUARD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 855 AM EST TUE NOV 20 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON NOVEMBER 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE TODAY UNDER A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE AREA AT THE SURFACE. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT...BRINGING PLENTY OF CLOUDS BUT NO MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION. SEASONABLY MILD...FAIR AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FROM THANKSGIVING INTO EARLY FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY...ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS. A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS WILL BE DIRECTED INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. BLUSTERY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE ALLEGHENY PLATEAU AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............74 73 72 70 69 68 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................48 51 51 51 51 48 RH..................56 49 48 46 44 50 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......1 1 1 1 1 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.6 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.4 2.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.....N N N N NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.....3 3 5 5 5 3 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34. MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............66 66 65 63 60 58 56 55 55 54 53 52 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................46 43 42 41 40 39 38 37 36 36 36 35 RH..................56 63 65 66 68 69 70 72 73 73 74 74 20 FT WIND DIR......N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD......1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.4 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.....3 2 2 2 3 5 7 8 7 6 5 5 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-4000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............52 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 49 45 40 36 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................35 35 39 42 46 47 49 51 51 51 51 48 RH..................74 74 66 59 53 50 48 45 46 46 46 50 20 FT WIND DIR......NE N N N NE NE NE NE NE N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.3 2.9 3.4 3.8 4.0 4.0 3.5 2.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.....N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....5 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 6 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...DANGELO REQUESTED BY...TIM HAYDT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121120.RANGE.01/CTP