FNUS73 KPAH 201350 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH HILDRETH BLOCK...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 750 AM CST TUE NOV 20 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON NOVEMBER 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE PASSAGE OF AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE AND A WEAK SURFACE LOW WILL RESULT IN GENERALLY DECREASING CLOUDS AND A LOW LEVEL WIND SHIFT TODAY. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED IN THE EVENING. A LOW LEVEL INVERSION BELOW 2000 FEET AGL WILL BREAK BY AROUND NOON...BUT THERE WILL BE ANOTHER INVERSION ABOVE IT AT 3000-3500 FEET THAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN. THE DAVIS STABILITY INDEX /DSI/ WILL BE SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE TODAY. WEDNESDAY WILL HAVE LOWER TRANSPORT WINDS/MIXING HEIGHTS AND A STABLE DSI. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 65. RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1500-3200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............60 62 63 64 64 62 59 RH..............52 51 49 48 49 53 61 20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W W NW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.4 1.9 1.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 12 12 12 12 13 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45. RH..................MAX 99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............56 53 51 49 48 47 RH..............72 82 89 94 96 98 20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 2 NW 2 NW 1 N 1 N 1 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1000 900 1000 800 800 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 13 N 14 N 15 N 15 N 15 N 13 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62. RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 52 59 61 RH..............95 75 57 52 20 FT WIND......N 2G5 N 3G5 N 5G10 NE 3G5 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1800 2700 2800 TRANSPORT WIND..N 12 N 8 N 6 NE 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...BLANCHARD REQUESTED BY...DENNIS WILSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121120.NORTH.01/PAH