FNUS71 KRNK 201226 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR HARRIS CREEK...N C FOREST SERVCIE D2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 726 AM EST TUE NOV 20 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON NOVEMBER 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... GENERAL OVERVIEW...MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS OUR REGION TODAY INTO WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY...AND THIS WILL YIELD GRADUALLY MODERATING TEMPERATURES. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY. WHILE SOME SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN PRECIPITATION REE. WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT AND BE GUSTY DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. SPECIFIC DISCUSSION...PATCHY DENSE FOG AND LOW CLOUDS WILL GIVE WAY TO PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS TODAY. A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL DRIFT ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY. SOME MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE TROUGH... BUT NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS AT 5 TO 8 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY...BECOMING CALM TONIGHT...AND THEN NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH WEDNESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....BECOMING NORTHWEST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....BECOMING NORTHWEST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............70 62 50 36 26 22 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................56 58 59 60 60 57 RH..................49 45 43 40 40 44 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.2 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.6 3.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.....4 5 5 4 3 2 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH...BECOMING NEAR CALM AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............22 25 31 36 39 39 40 39 40 42 44 57 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................55 52 51 49 48 47 46 45 44 43 43 42 RH..................48 53 56 59 62 65 67 70 72 73 74 76 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.1 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW NW N N NW SW S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....2 2 3 3 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...BEASLEY REQUESTED BY...BRENT TRIPLETT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121120.HARRI.01/RNK