FNUS73 KLSX 211333
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GEODDE CREEK WOODLAND...MODNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
733 AM CST WED NOV 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 CST ON NOVEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE LATER THIS MORNING.
TEMPERATURES WILL THEN CLIMB ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND THURSDAY.
SHOWERS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THURSDAY AHEAD OF COLD FRONT THAT
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY NIGHT.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE
MUCH COOLER ON FRIDAY WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS.  A STORM SYSTEM
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA BRINGING A CHANCE OF RAIN AND POSSIBLY
SNOW EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG WITH
                    VISIBILITY ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN
                    THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS SOUTH AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND DURING MID AND LATE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTH AROUND 2 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON USING THE
                    WIND FACTOR ADJUSTMENT OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND DURING MID AND LATE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AT IGNITION...2000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (1885 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH AROUND AROUND 2 MPH USING THE WIND FACTOR
                    ADJUSTMENT OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND AROUND 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST WIND 2 TO 4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    6 MPH USING THE WIND FACTOR ADJUSTMENT OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    21 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (6944 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GKS
REQUESTED BY...BRUCE SCHUETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121121.GEODD.01/LSX