FNUS73 KJKL 222155
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR TURKEY...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
455 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1625 EST ON NOVEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT APPROACHES LATE TONIGHT...AND EVENTUALLY
PASSES THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. SCATTERED
SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...WITH MUCH COLDER AIR FOLLOWING.
A LIGHT WEST...SOUTHWEST EARLY THIS EVENING WIND WILL BACK TO THE
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS A NOCTURNAL INVERSION SETS UP AND DRAINAGE
WINDS KICK IN. LOOK FOR THE WINDS TO BE GUSTY FROM THE SOUTHWEST
EARLY FRIDAY AT 10 TO 15 MPH. WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE BY LATE
MORNING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND THEN NORTHWEST WHILE
REMAINING GUSTY AT 10 TO 20 MPH. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET
ON FRIDAY BUT CONTINUE THE COLD AIR ADVECTION FROM THE NORTHWEST.
SUNDAY WILL BE ANOTHER DRY DAY AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ONCE
AGAIN DROP TO AROUND 30 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........12     19     29     36     37     45
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............56     53     51     50     48     47
RH..............51     58     64     70     76     81
20 FT WIND......S 2    S 2    S 2    S 2    SW 2   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. THEN BECOMING SUNNY BY LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 20 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
POP.................40 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 21 MPH.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........58     81     96     65     25     13
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............45     50     55     55     54     50
RH..............87     78     66     57     49     51
20 FT WIND......SW 6   W 8    W 9    W 10   W 10   W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     18     20     21     19
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...RAY
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121122.TURKE.01/JKL