FNUS75 KBOU 241107 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FERN LAKE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 358 AM MST SAT NOV 24 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1631 MST ON NOVEMBER 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN POSTED TODAY FOR ALL OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 215. GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY...STRONGEST DURING THE MORNING HOURS...THEN GRADUAL DECREASE IN THE WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MUCH WARMER TODAY WITH LOWER HUMIDITY LEVELS AS THE OVERNIGHT HUMIDTY RECOVERY WAS POOR. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1400...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-57. MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2600-3600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35-50 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22. MAX HUMIDITY........50%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30-40 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 4300-5300 FT AGL AFTER 1100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30-40 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN 40-45 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 8-11 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 9-11 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FERN LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/24-03 40 0 0 25 51 W 16 26 5 1 NW 37 306 W 26 7011 P 11/24-04 40 0 0 25 44 W 16 26 5 1 NW 39 349 W 28 8338 P 11/24-05 45 0 0 27 37 W 16 28 5 1 NW 41 392 W 29 9665 P 11/24-06 45 0 0 24 40 W 17 30 5 1 NW 41 421 W 31 11513 P 11/24-07 45 0 0 26 37 W 20 32 5 1 NW 40 451 W 33 13361 P 11/24-08 45 0 0 30 32 W 21 36 5 1 NW 39 480 W 37 15209 P 11/24-09 45 0 0 34 29 W 22 37 5 1 NW 36 1287 W 40 51657 F 11/24-10 45 0 0 39 25 W 23 38 5 1 WNW 32 2094 W 45 88104 G 11/24-11 45 0 0 43 22 W 23 39 5 1 WNW 31 2901 W 49124552 V 11/24-12 45 0 0 46 20 W 24 40 5 1 WNW 33 3296 W 49143321 V 11/24-13 45 0 0 47 19 W 24 41 4 1 WNW 38 3691 W 51162089 E 11/24-14 16 0 0 46 19 W 24 41 4 1 WNW 43 4086 W 51180858 E 11/24-15 16 0 0 42 22 W 23 39 4 1 WNW 46 3174 W 46135231 V 11/24-16 16 0 0 37 28 W 22 37 4 1 WNW 49 2262 W 41 89604 G 11/24-17 16 0 0 33 33 W 21 36 4 1 WNW 51 1350 W 38 43978 F 11/24-18 16 0 0 31 36 W 21 35 4 1 WNW 52 1079 W 37 34737 P 11/24-19 16 0 0 30 37 W 21 35 4 1 WNW 52 809 W 36 25497 P 11/24-20 16 0 0 29 39 W 21 36 4 1 WNW 51 538 W 35 16257 P 11/24-21 16 0 0 28 41 W 22 36 4 1 WNW 46 498 W 36 15235 P 11/24-22 16 0 0 27 44 W 22 37 4 1 WNW 41 457 W 36 14214 P 11/24-23 8 0 0 26 46 W 22 37 4 1 W 40 417 W 37 13192 P 11/25-00 8 0 0 25 48 W 21 36 4 1 W 47 531 W 35 15384 P 11/25-01 8 0 0 24 49 W 18 32 4 1 W 56 645 W 32 17577 P 11/25-02 8 0 0 23 50 W 17 30 4 1 W 64 758 W 30 19769 P 11/25-03 8 0 0 23 48 W 16 28 4 1 W 68 717 W 29 18032 P 11/25-04 8 0 0 22 48 W 15 26 3 1 W 69 676 W 28 16295 P 11/25-05 17 0 0 22 47 W 15 25 3 1 W 69 634 W 26 14558 P 11/25-06 17 0 0 24 44 W 15 24 3 1 W 69 595 W 26 13504 P 11/25-07 17 0 0 25 43 W 14 24 3 1 W 68 555 W 25 12451 P 11/25-08 17 0 0 26 42 W 14 23 3 1 W 67 515 W 25 11397 P 11/25-09 17 0 0 30 37 W 14 22 3 1 W 67 2122 W 32 79966 G 11/25-10 17 0 0 35 31 W 14 23 2 1 W 67 3730 W 39148534 V 11/25-11 30 0 0 39 27 W 15 24 2 1 W 66 5338 W 47217102 E 11/25-12 30 0 0 41 26 W 16 25 2 1 W 64 5496 W 46217571 E 11/25-13 30 0 0 41 26 W 17 26 2 1 W 63 5654 W 45218039 E 11/25-14 30 0 0 39 28 W 17 28 2 1 W 62 5812 W 44218508 E 11/25-15 30 0 0 37 31 W 17 28 2 1 W 62 4814 W 43177978 E 11/25-16 30 0 0 34 35 W 17 26 2 1 W 61 3815 W 40137448 V 11/25-17 45 7 1 30 41 W 16 25 2 1 W 60 2816 W 39 96919 G 11/25-18 45 7 1 28 45 W 15 24 2 1 W 59 2046 W 35 68009 G 11/25-19 45 7 1 26 51 W 15 23 2 1 W 58 1275 W 29 39100 P 11/25-20 45 7 1 25 55 W 14 22 2 1 W 55 504 W 23 10190 P 11/25-21 45 7 1 24 58 W 14 22 2 1 W 53 1218 W 25 28756 P 11/25-22 45 7 1 23 62 W 13 21 2 1 W 49 1932 W 26 47322 F 11/25-23 50 10 2 22 65 W 13 21 2 1 WNW 48 2646 W 29 65888 G 11/26-00 50 10 2 22 65 W 12 20 2 1 WNW 47 3150 W 29 78505 G 11/26-01 50 10 2 21 68 W 12 18 2 1 WNW 47 3654 W 29 91123 G 11/26-02 50 10 2 20 71 W 10 16 2 1 WNW 47 4158 W 29103740 V 11/26-03 50 10 2 20 70 W 9 15 2 1 WNW 47 2910 W 22 70320 G 11/26-04 50 10 2 19 72 W 9 14 2 1 WNW 46 1662 W 16 36900 P 11/26-05 52 10 2 19 71 W 8 13 2 1 WNW 47 414 W 9 3479 P 11/26-06 52 10 2 19 69 W 7 7 2 1 WNW 47 559 W 9 3965 P 11/26-07 52 10 2 20 64 W 7 7 2 1 WNW 47 705 W 8 4450 P 11/26-08 52 10 2 21 59 W 7 7 2 1 WNW 47 850 W 7 4935 P 11/26-09 52 10 2 24 51 W 7 7 2 1 WNW 47 2145 W 13 35972 P 11/26-10 52 10 2 28 42 W 8 8 2 1 WNW 47 3440 W 18 67009 G 11/26-11 41 4 1 31 36 WSW 8 13 2 1 W 47 4734 W 24 98046 G 11/26-12 41 4 1 32 34 WSW 8 13 2 1 W 48 4904 W 25109250 V 11/26-13 41 4 1 32 33 WSW 8 14 2 1 W 49 5074 W 28120455 V 11/26-14 41 4 1 31 34 WSW 9 15 2 1 W 51 5243 W 29131660 V 11/26-15 41 4 1 28 38 W 12 18 2 1 W 53 5151 W 30131788 V 11/26-16 41 4 1 25 44 W 14 22 2 1 WNW 55 5058 W 30131916 V 11/26-17 18 0 0 22 50 W 15 24 2 1 WNW 59 4965 W 31132045 V 11/26-18 18 0 0 20 54 W 14 23 2 1 WNW 62 4631 W 32127368 V 11/26-19 18 0 0 19 57 W 13 21 2 1 WNW 64 4297 W 33122691 V 11/26-20 18 0 0 17 61 W 12 18 2 1 WNW 67 3963 W 35118014 V 11/26-21 18 0 0 17 61 W 13 20 2 1 NW 70 3527 W 35105778 V 11/26-22 18 0 0 16 62 W 14 22 2 1 NW 73 3091 W 35 93541 G 11/26-23 28 0 0 16 61 W 15 24 2 1 NW 74 2655 W 36 81304 G 11/27-00 28 0 0 16 61 W 15 25 2 1 NW 75 2405 W 36 74209 G 11/27-01 28 0 0 16 60 W 16 25 2 1 NW 75 2154 W 36 67113 G 11/27-02 28 0 0 16 59 W 16 25 2 1 NW 74 1904 W 37 60018 G 11/27-03 28 0 0 16 59 W 16 25 2 1 NW 71 1566 W 32 46645 F 11/27-04 28 0 0 16 59 W 15 24 3 1 NW 70 1229 W 29 33272 P 11/27-05 22 0 0 16 59 W 15 24 4 1 NW 67 891 W 25 19899 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...DOUG WATRY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121123.FERNL.01/BOU