FNUS75 KBOU 232142 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MILL CREEK WILD FIRE...CLEAR CREEK COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 240 PM MST FRI NOV 23 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1414 MST ON NOVEMBER 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR ALONG WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE TEENS BOTH AFTERNOONS. IF THE GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...THEN THERE WILL BE A SLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY. IF IT BECOMES CALM AND GOOD SURFACE BASED INVERSION DEVELOPS...THEN IT WILL BE HIGHER THAN THE VALUES IN TONIGHTS FORECAST. THE FORECAST REFLECTS THE WORST CASE SCENARIO IN TERMS OF THE WIND AND RH. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-51. MIN HUMIDITY........17-20%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS 10-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-5300 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 2600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1500. FAIR AFTER 1600. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....21-25. MAX HUMIDITY........45-50%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL UNTIL 1800...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54. MIN HUMIDITY........16-19%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2700-3700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35-45 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN 45-50 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MILL CREEK WILD FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/23-14 19 0 0 44 21 WNW 15 21 3 1 NNW 29 5503 WNW 20 93967 G 11/23-15 19 0 0 41 25 W 14 18 3 1 NNW 29 4071 WNW 22 71352 G 11/23-16 19 0 0 38 28 W 12 17 4 1 NW 30 2638 WNW 23 48737 F 11/23-17 7 0 0 34 33 W 12 16 4 1 NW 30 1205 W 25 26122 P 11/23-18 7 0 0 31 38 W 13 17 4 1 NW 30 936 W 24 19933 P 11/23-19 7 0 0 30 39 W 14 20 4 1 NW 30 667 WNW 23 13744 P 11/23-20 12 0 0 29 41 W 15 21 4 1 NW 30 398 WNW 22 7555 P 11/23-21 12 0 0 28 43 W 14 20 4 1 NW 30 329 W 21 6127 P 11/23-22 12 0 0 28 43 W 13 17 4 1 NW 29 260 W 21 4699 P 11/23-23 12 0 0 28 42 W 12 16 4 1 NW 28 192 W 20 3271 P 11/24-00 12 0 0 28 41 W 13 18 4 1 NW 28 281 W 22 5732 P 11/24-01 12 0 0 27 40 W 15 21 5 1 NW 28 370 W 24 8193 P 11/24-02 25 0 0 27 38 W 16 23 5 1 NW 29 459 W 26 10654 P 11/24-03 25 0 0 27 38 W 15 22 5 1 NW 31 432 W 28 10291 P 11/24-04 25 0 0 27 38 W 15 21 5 1 NW 32 405 W 29 9928 P 11/24-05 25 0 0 28 37 W 14 20 5 1 NW 32 379 W 29 9565 P 11/24-06 25 0 0 28 37 W 15 21 5 1 NW 32 396 W 30 10527 P 11/24-07 25 0 0 30 35 W 17 24 4 1 NW 30 414 W 32 11488 P 11/24-08 25 0 0 32 33 W 18 25 4 1 NW 29 431 W 33 12450 P 11/24-09 25 0 0 36 28 W 17 25 4 1 NW 28 1499 W 38 57750 F 11/24-10 25 0 0 41 24 W 17 23 4 1 NW 26 2566 W 43103049 V 11/24-11 18 0 0 46 20 W 16 23 4 1 NW 25 3634 W 47148349 V 11/24-12 18 0 0 48 19 W 17 24 4 1 NW 25 3764 W 48157507 E 11/24-13 18 0 0 49 18 W 20 28 4 1 WNW 25 3894 W 49166664 E 11/24-14 18 0 0 48 18 W 21 29 4 1 WNW 24 4024 W 51175822 E 11/24-15 18 0 0 45 20 W 21 29 4 1 WNW 24 3214 W 48137196 V 11/24-16 18 0 0 41 22 W 20 26 4 1 WNW 24 2404 W 46 98570 G 11/24-17 17 0 0 38 24 W 18 25 4 1 WNW 25 1595 W 44 59944 F 11/24-18 17 0 0 34 27 W 18 25 4 1 WNW 28 1415 W 43 52332 F 11/24-19 17 0 0 32 30 W 18 26 4 1 WNW 32 1235 W 41 44721 F 11/24-20 17 0 0 30 32 W 20 28 4 1 W 38 1055 W 40 37109 P 11/24-21 17 0 0 29 34 W 20 31 4 1 W 41 1005 W 37 32676 P 11/24-22 17 0 0 29 34 W 18 29 3 1 W 46 955 W 33 28242 P 11/24-23 8 0 0 28 35 W 17 28 3 1 W 49 905 W 30 23808 P 11/25-00 8 0 0 27 37 W 16 26 3 1 W 52 867 W 30 22325 P 11/25-01 8 0 0 26 38 W 16 25 3 1 W 53 829 W 29 20842 P 11/25-02 8 0 0 25 40 W 15 24 3 1 W 55 792 W 28 19359 P 11/25-03 8 0 0 25 40 W 15 23 3 1 W 56 775 W 28 18576 P 11/25-04 8 0 0 25 40 W 14 23 3 1 W 58 758 W 26 17794 P 11/25-05 15 0 0 25 40 W 14 22 3 1 W 59 742 W 26 17011 P 11/25-06 15 0 0 26 39 W 14 22 3 1 W 59 657 W 26 14884 P 11/25-07 15 0 0 27 38 W 14 22 2 1 W 59 572 W 25 12757 P 11/25-08 15 0 0 29 35 WSW 14 22 2 1 W 59 488 W 25 10630 P 11/25-09 15 0 0 34 29 W 15 23 2 1 W 59 2630 W 30 89053 G 11/25-10 15 0 0 39 24 W 15 24 2 1 W 60 4771 W 36167476 E 11/25-11 24 1 0 43 21 W 16 25 2 1 W 60 6913 W 41245899 E 11/25-12 24 1 0 45 20 W 17 26 2 1 W 60 7263 W 41259387 E 11/25-13 24 1 0 45 20 W 17 28 2 1 W 60 7612 W 41272874 E 11/25-14 24 1 0 45 21 W 17 28 2 1 W 59 7961 W 41286362 E 11/25-15 24 1 0 42 23 W 17 26 2 1 W 59 6604 W 40232787 E 11/25-16 24 1 0 38 28 W 16 25 2 1 W 58 5247 W 39179212 E 11/25-17 38 2 0 34 33 W 15 24 2 1 W 56 3890 W 37125636 V 11/25-18 38 2 0 31 39 W 14 23 2 1 W 53 3461 W 36108092 V 11/25-19 38 2 0 28 45 W 14 21 2 1 WNW 48 3033 W 33 90548 G 11/25-20 38 2 0 26 51 W 13 21 2 1 WNW 44 2604 W 32 73004 G 11/25-21 38 2 0 25 55 W 13 20 2 1 WNW 40 2366 W 32 66571 G 11/25-22 38 2 0 25 56 W 13 20 2 1 WNW 38 2129 W 32 60138 G 11/25-23 36 4 1 24 60 W 13 21 2 1 W 37 1891 W 32 53705 F 11/26-00 36 4 1 24 60 W 13 21 3 1 WNW 37 1743 W 31 47231 F 11/26-01 36 4 1 23 63 W 13 21 3 1 WNW 38 1595 W 29 40758 F 11/26-02 36 4 1 22 65 W 13 21 4 1 WNW 39 1447 W 28 34284 P 11/26-03 36 4 1 22 64 W 12 20 4 1 WNW 40 1141 W 24 25547 P 11/26-04 36 4 1 22 63 W 12 18 4 1 WNW 43 835 W 21 16810 P 11/26-05 38 10 2 21 65 W 10 16 4 1 WNW 45 529 W 17 8073 P 11/26-06 38 10 2 20 66 W 10 16 4 1 WNW 45 791 W 16 10924 P 11/26-07 38 10 2 21 62 W 9 15 3 1 WNW 45 1053 W 16 13774 P 11/26-08 38 10 2 22 58 W 9 15 3 1 WNW 46 1315 W 15 16625 P 11/26-09 38 10 2 25 50 W 9 15 3 1 WNW 46 2132 W 17 37089 P 11/26-10 38 10 2 28 43 W 9 15 2 1 WNW 47 2949 W 21 57554 F 11/26-11 46 9 2 31 37 W 9 15 2 1 WNW 48 3765 W 24 78018 G 11/26-12 46 9 2 33 34 W 9 15 2 1 WNW 48 3944 W 25 87775 G 11/26-13 46 9 2 33 33 W 9 15 2 1 WNW 48 4122 W 28 97532 G 11/26-14 46 9 2 32 34 W 9 15 2 1 WNW 48 4301 W 29107288 V 11/26-15 46 9 2 30 36 W 9 15 2 1 WNW 49 3444 W 26 81890 G 11/26-16 46 9 2 27 41 W 9 15 3 1 WNW 51 2586 W 23 56491 F 11/26-17 40 0 0 24 46 W 9 15 3 1 WNW 51 1729 W 21 31092 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...COOPER REQUESTED BY...MAJOR ALBERS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121123.MILLC.01/BOU