FNUS75 KBOU 251214 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FERN LAKE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 506 AM MST SUN NOV 25 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1719 MST ON NOVEMBER 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE BURN AREA WITH VARYING AMOUNTS OF MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE IN THE FORM OF WAVE CLOUDS. THERE WILL STILL BE SOME GUSTY WINDS TODAY...BUT NOT AS STRONG AS THE WINDS ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL DECREASE EVEN FURTHER BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS. A WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW DEVELOPING. AT THIS TIME LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. COLDER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ON MONDAY BEHIND THE DISTURBANCE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44-47. MIN HUMIDITY........22%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 3800-4800 FT AGL AFTER 1100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30-40 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN 40-45 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 2300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21. MAX HUMIDITY........74%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 1600-2600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-35 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN 20-25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR UNTIL 0100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0200...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................5 PERCENT. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32. MIN HUMIDITY........40%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN WEST 8-10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 11-17 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 9-12 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 9-13 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FERN LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/25-05 23 0 0 22 45 W 14 22 4 1 W 49 607 W 25 13247 P 11/25-06 23 0 0 23 41 W 14 23 4 1 W 52 580 W 26 13256 P 11/25-07 23 0 0 24 38 W 15 24 3 1 W 54 552 W 28 13264 P 11/25-08 23 0 0 27 33 W 16 25 3 1 W 56 525 W 29 13272 P 11/25-09 23 0 0 31 30 W 16 25 3 1 W 58 1834 W 35 66136 G 11/25-10 23 0 0 36 26 W 16 25 3 1 W 59 3142 W 39119000 V 11/25-11 55 0 0 39 25 W 16 25 3 1 W 60 4451 W 45171864 E 11/25-12 55 0 0 41 23 W 17 28 3 1 W 61 4664 W 44178414 E 11/25-13 55 0 0 41 22 W 18 30 3 1 W 61 4876 W 44184964 E 11/25-14 55 0 0 40 23 W 20 31 3 1 W 61 5089 W 44191514 E 11/25-15 55 0 0 37 27 W 20 31 3 1 W 62 4258 W 41155144 E 11/25-16 55 0 0 34 32 W 18 30 3 1 W 62 3426 W 39118775 V 11/25-17 63 8 2 31 37 W 17 28 3 1 W 61 2595 W 37 82405 G 11/25-18 63 8 2 29 42 W 16 25 3 1 W 61 1952 W 31 59095 F 11/25-19 63 8 2 28 45 W 15 24 2 1 W 59 1310 W 26 35784 P 11/25-20 63 8 2 27 48 W 14 22 2 1 W 58 668 W 22 12474 P 11/25-21 63 8 2 26 53 W 13 21 2 1 W 55 898 W 22 16697 P 11/25-22 63 8 2 26 57 W 13 20 2 1 W 53 1128 W 22 20920 P 11/25-23 73 20 4 25 63 W 12 18 2 1 W 52 1358 W 22 25143 P 11/26-00 73 20 4 24 66 W 10 16 2 1 W 51 1696 W 23 35329 P 11/26-01 73 20 4 23 69 W 9 14 2 1 WNW 49 2034 W 25 45514 F 11/26-02 73 20 4 22 71 W 8 13 2 1 WNW 48 2373 W 26 55700 F 11/26-03 73 20 4 21 74 W 8 13 2 1 WNW 48 2545 W 26 59272 F 11/26-04 73 20 4 21 74 W 9 14 2 1 WNW 48 2717 W 26 62843 G 11/26-05 76 10 2 21 74 W 9 15 2 1 WNW 47 2889 W 26 66415 G 11/26-06 76 10 2 21 73 W 9 14 2 1 WNW 47 2622 WNW 24 55097 F 11/26-07 76 10 2 21 72 W 8 13 2 1 WNW 47 2356 WNW 21 43779 F 11/26-08 66 10 2 22 68 W 7 7 2 1 WNW 46 2089 WNW 18 32461 P 11/26-09 66 10 2 25 57 W 7 9 2 1 WNW 46 2806 WNW 20 51046 F 11/26-10 66 10 2 27 50 W 7 9 2 1 WNW 46 3523 WNW 22 69631 G 11/26-11 55 5 1 30 43 W 7 9 2 1 WNW 46 4240 WNW 24 88216 G 11/26-12 55 5 1 32 40 W 8 12 2 1 WNW 48 4057 W 24 85414 G 11/26-13 55 5 1 32 41 WSW 10 14 3 1 WNW 51 3874 W 24 82612 G 11/26-14 55 5 1 31 43 WSW 12 16 3 1 WNW 53 3691 W 25 79810 G 11/26-15 55 5 1 28 46 WSW 12 16 3 1 WNW 53 3186 W 26 71839 G 11/26-16 55 5 1 25 50 W 12 16 3 1 NW 53 2681 W 28 63868 G 11/26-17 25 0 0 21 57 W 12 16 3 1 NW 52 2176 W 30 55897 F 11/26-18 25 0 0 19 62 W 13 20 3 1 NW 49 1802 W 30 46161 F 11/26-19 25 0 0 18 67 W 14 22 4 1 NW 46 1427 W 29 36426 P 11/26-20 25 0 0 17 70 W 15 24 4 1 NW 44 1053 W 29 26690 P 11/26-21 25 0 0 17 66 W 15 24 4 1 NW 44 988 W 30 25302 P 11/26-22 25 0 0 17 62 W 16 25 4 1 NW 45 923 W 30 23915 P 11/26-23 13 0 0 17 59 W 16 25 4 1 NW 47 858 W 30 22527 P 11/27-00 13 0 0 18 57 W 17 28 4 1 NW 48 803 W 31 21268 P 11/27-01 13 0 0 18 60 W 18 29 4 1 NW 51 747 W 31 20010 P 11/27-02 13 0 0 17 64 W 18 30 4 1 WNW 53 692 W 31 18752 P 11/27-03 13 0 0 17 62 W 17 29 4 1 WNW 54 645 W 31 17216 P 11/27-04 13 0 0 17 58 W 17 26 4 1 WNW 55 598 W 30 15680 P 11/27-05 12 0 0 17 56 W 16 25 4 1 WNW 55 551 W 30 14144 P 11/27-06 12 0 0 19 53 W 16 26 4 1 WNW 54 514 W 30 13142 P 11/27-07 12 0 0 21 50 W 17 26 5 1 WNW 52 478 W 29 12139 P 11/27-08 12 0 0 24 46 W 17 28 5 1 WNW 49 441 W 29 11137 P 11/27-09 12 0 0 29 36 W 17 28 5 1 WNW 47 1369 W 33 45750 F 11/27-10 12 0 0 34 28 W 16 26 4 1 WNW 45 2296 W 37 80363 G 11/27-11 7 0 0 38 24 W 16 25 4 1 WNW 41 3224 W 41114977 V 11/27-12 7 0 0 40 22 W 16 25 4 1 WNW 39 3407 W 39116904 V 11/27-13 7 0 0 41 22 W 16 26 4 1 W 36 3589 W 38118832 V 11/27-14 7 0 0 40 24 W 16 25 4 1 W 32 3772 W 37120760 V 11/27-15 7 0 0 37 27 W 15 24 4 1 W 30 2841 W 31 86296 G 11/27-16 7 0 0 33 31 W 15 23 5 1 W 26 1910 W 26 51832 F 11/27-17 29 0 0 29 35 W 14 22 5 1 W 24 979 W 21 17369 P 11/27-18 29 0 0 27 37 W 14 22 5 1 W 22 971 W 22 18132 P 11/27-19 29 0 0 25 39 W 14 22 5 1 W 18 963 W 23 18895 P 11/27-20 29 0 0 24 40 W 14 22 5 1 W 17 955 W 24 19658 P 11/27-21 29 0 0 23 40 W 13 21 5 1 W 17 863 W 22 16861 P 11/27-22 29 0 0 22 41 W 13 20 5 1 W 20 772 W 21 14063 P 11/27-23 22 0 0 21 41 W 12 18 5 1 W 22 680 W 20 11266 P 11/28-00 22 0 0 21 40 W 12 18 4 1 W 22 556 W 18 9080 P 11/28-01 22 0 0 21 39 W 12 17 4 1 W 23 431 W 18 6894 P 11/28-02 22 0 0 20 40 W 12 17 3 1 W 23 307 W 17 4709 P 11/28-03 22 0 0 20 39 W 12 18 3 1 W 22 256 W 18 4021 P 11/28-04 22 0 0 19 41 W 12 18 3 1 W 21 205 W 20 3334 P 11/28-05 26 0 0 19 41 W 12 18 3 1 W 20 154 W 20 2646 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...NATE WILLIAMSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121124.FERNL.01/BOU