FNUS75 KBOU 261221 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FERN LAKE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 516 AM MST MON NOV 26 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1611 MST ON NOVEMBER 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND JUST A FEW SNOW FLURRIES. NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. CLOUDS WILL DISSIPATE THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL REDEVELOP LATER TONIGHT WITH SPEEDS UP TO 35 MPH. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32. MIN HUMIDITY........40%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN WEST 6-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2900 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 3500-4500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0700...THEN POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 16. MAX HUMIDITY........56%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2300 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. MIN HUMIDITY........19%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2200-3200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30-35 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 10-13 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 9-13 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 9-11 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FERN LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/26-05 76 10 2 18 84 NW 7 12 3 1 NW 69 2080 W 29 51849 F 11/26-06 76 10 2 18 85 WNW 7 13 3 1 NW 69 1803 W 24 40170 F 11/26-07 76 10 2 18 83 WNW 8 14 2 1 NW 68 1527 WNW 20 28491 P 11/26-08 76 10 2 20 74 W 8 14 2 1 NW 64 1251 WNW 15 16811 P 11/26-09 76 10 2 23 62 W 8 13 2 1 NW 63 2342 WNW 18 43568 F 11/26-10 76 10 2 26 52 W 7 12 2 1 WNW 61 3432 WNW 22 70324 G 11/26-11 66 1 0 30 43 W 7 12 2 1 WNW 59 4523 WNW 24 97080 G 11/26-12 66 1 0 32 40 W 8 14 2 1 WNW 56 4595 W 25100198 V 11/26-13 66 1 0 32 41 W 9 16 2 1 WNW 55 4667 W 25103315 V 11/26-14 66 1 0 31 43 WSW 10 17 2 1 WNW 54 4738 W 25106432 V 11/26-15 29 1 0 27 47 W 10 17 2 1 WNW 51 3949 W 26 89016 G 11/26-16 29 1 0 24 49 W 10 17 3 1 WNW 48 3160 W 26 71599 G 11/26-17 24 0 0 20 54 W 10 17 3 1 WNW 48 2370 W 26 54183 F 11/26-18 24 0 0 18 56 W 12 20 3 1 NW 51 2023 W 25 45372 F 11/26-19 24 0 0 18 55 W 13 22 4 1 NW 53 1676 W 25 36561 P 11/26-20 24 0 0 17 56 W 14 23 4 1 NW 55 1328 W 24 27750 P 11/26-21 24 0 0 18 52 W 15 25 4 1 NW 52 1128 W 25 24436 P 11/26-22 24 0 0 18 50 W 15 26 4 1 NW 46 927 W 26 21121 P 11/26-23 13 0 0 17 51 W 16 28 4 1 NW 43 727 W 28 17807 P 11/27-00 13 0 0 17 50 W 17 29 4 1 NW 41 643 W 29 15824 P 11/27-01 13 0 0 16 52 W 17 29 4 1 WNW 43 559 W 29 13842 P 11/27-02 13 0 0 16 51 W 17 30 4 1 WNW 45 476 W 29 11860 P 11/27-03 13 0 0 16 50 W 17 29 4 1 WNW 48 440 W 30 11293 P 11/27-04 13 0 0 16 49 W 16 28 4 1 WNW 52 404 W 31 10726 P 11/27-05 11 0 0 17 47 W 16 28 4 1 WNW 54 368 W 32 10159 P 11/27-06 11 0 0 19 43 W 16 28 4 1 WNW 53 471 W 31 12622 P 11/27-07 11 0 0 21 39 W 17 29 4 1 WNW 51 573 W 31 15085 P 11/27-08 11 0 0 24 35 W 17 30 4 1 WNW 47 676 W 30 17547 P 11/27-09 11 0 0 29 28 W 17 28 4 1 WNW 45 1475 W 32 43789 F 11/27-10 11 0 0 34 23 W 16 26 5 1 WNW 43 2274 W 35 70030 G 11/27-11 7 0 0 38 20 W 16 25 5 1 WNW 40 3073 W 36 96272 G 11/27-12 7 0 0 40 19 W 16 26 5 1 WNW 39 3274 W 36102973 V 11/27-13 7 0 0 41 19 W 17 28 5 1 WNW 37 3474 W 37109673 V 11/27-14 7 0 0 40 20 W 17 28 5 1 W 36 3674 W 37116374 V 11/27-15 7 0 0 37 22 W 16 26 5 1 W 35 2802 W 33 86233 G 11/27-16 7 0 0 33 25 W 16 25 5 1 W 32 1929 W 31 56092 F 11/27-17 23 0 0 30 28 W 15 24 5 1 W 31 1056 W 29 25952 P 11/27-18 23 0 0 27 32 W 15 24 5 1 W 28 976 W 28 23612 P 11/27-19 23 0 0 25 36 W 15 24 5 1 W 23 897 W 28 21271 P 11/27-20 23 0 0 23 40 W 15 24 5 1 W 21 818 W 26 18931 P 11/27-21 23 0 0 22 41 W 14 23 5 1 W 18 795 W 25 17409 P 11/27-22 23 0 0 21 42 W 14 22 5 1 W 17 773 W 23 15887 P 11/27-23 21 0 0 21 41 W 13 21 5 1 W 17 751 W 22 14365 P 11/28-00 21 0 0 21 40 W 13 20 5 1 W 20 675 W 21 12355 P 11/28-01 21 0 0 21 39 W 13 21 5 1 W 22 600 W 20 10344 P 11/28-02 21 0 0 21 37 W 13 21 5 1 W 23 524 W 18 8334 P 11/28-03 21 0 0 21 36 W 13 20 5 1 W 23 512 W 18 8143 P 11/28-04 21 0 0 20 37 W 12 18 4 1 W 22 501 W 18 7952 P 11/28-05 14 0 0 20 37 W 12 18 4 1 W 21 489 W 18 7762 P 11/28-06 14 0 0 21 36 W 12 18 4 1 WSW 20 466 W 20 7808 P 11/28-07 14 0 0 23 35 W 13 20 4 1 WSW 20 443 W 21 7854 P 11/28-08 14 0 0 26 32 W 13 21 4 1 WSW 20 419 W 22 7900 P 11/28-09 14 0 0 31 27 W 13 20 4 1 WSW 21 1826 W 25 46731 F 11/28-10 14 0 0 37 22 W 12 18 4 1 SW 23 3232 W 28 85562 G 11/28-11 22 0 0 42 18 W 12 18 4 1 SW 25 4639 W 31124394 V 11/28-12 22 0 0 45 18 W 12 20 3 1 WSW 26 5504 W 33160536 E 11/28-13 22 0 0 45 19 W 13 20 3 1 WSW 29 6370 W 35196679 E 11/28-14 22 0 0 44 21 W 13 21 2 1 W 30 7235 W 37232821 E 11/28-15 22 0 0 41 23 W 12 20 2 1 W 32 6091 W 33185233 E 11/28-16 22 0 0 37 27 W 12 17 2 1 W 35 4946 W 31137645 V 11/28-17 36 0 0 34 30 W 10 16 2 1 W 37 3802 W 28 90057 G 11/28-18 36 0 0 31 35 W 10 16 1 11/28-19 36 0 0 29 39 W 10 16 1 11/28-20 36 0 0 27 44 W 10 16 1 11/28-21 36 0 0 27 44 W 12 17 1 11/28-22 36 0 0 26 46 W 12 18 1 11/28-23 45 0 0 26 46 W 13 21 1 11/29-00 45 0 0 26 46 W 14 22 1 11/29-01 45 0 0 26 47 W 15 23 1 11/29-02 45 0 0 25 50 W 15 24 1 11/29-03 45 0 0 25 51 W 15 24 1 11/29-04 45 0 0 24 54 W 14 23 1 11/29-05 49 0 0 24 55 W 14 22 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...DOUG WATRY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121125.FERNL.01/BOU