FNUS73 KJKL 251943
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR TURKEY...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
243 PM EST SUN NOV 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1405 EST ON NOVEMBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...IN THE PEAK OF THE HEATING TODAY...DRY AIR MIXED DOWN
SOME VERY DRY AIR FROM ALOFT. THIS HAS RESULTED IN MIN RH IN THE
CRITICAL RANGE WITH WINDS BELOW CRITICAL LIMITS. RH SHOULD BE
BOTTOMING OUT AT AROUND 20 PERCENT BY 1500 AND THEN START TO SLOWLY
RISE AFTER 1700 AND THEN RISE QUICKLY AS THE SUN GOES DOWN.
SOUTHSOUTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL START TO TAPER OFF AFTER
1700. CAN NOT EXPLAIN THE EASTERLY WINDS IN THE
OBSERVATION...HOWEVER DO BELIEVE THEY WILL START COMING AROUND WITH
THE PREDOMINANT FLOW SOON. AS THE HEATING TURNS OFF TODAY...THE
WINDS WILL ALSO START TO DECREASE AND THEN BECOME LIGHT AND VAVIABLE
TONIGHT. TOMORROW THE RH WILL BE A BIT HIGHER AS SOME MOISTURE WILL
START TO MOVE IN WITH THE SOUTHERLY FLOW. THE NEXT RAIN SHOULD COME
MONDAY NIGHT WITH A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM MOVING NORTHEAST OUT OF THE
LOWER MS VALLEY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........2      2      2      2      2      2      2      3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     48     39     37     35     33     31     30
RH..............21     28     46     58     65     72     75     78
20 FT WIND......S 7    SSW 4  SSW 3  SWS 2  SSW 2  VRB 1  VRB 1  VRB 1
20 FT WIND GUST.15     12     7
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4      4x09 4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EARLY
                    EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST IN THE MID TEENS MPH.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........4      17     29     42     65     83
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN
TEMP............28     35     45     52     57     53
RH..............84     67     50     44     42     55
20 FT WIND......SE 1   S 2    S 2    SW 3   W 2    W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...JACOBSON
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121125.TURKE.01/JKL