FNUS71 KRNK 270144 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR 101 WILDFIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 844 PM EST MON NOV 26 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1539 EST ON NOVEMBER 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... GENERAL DISCUSSION... AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT AND TUESDAY BRINGING LIGHT RAIN TO THE AREA. THE MAJORITY OF THE RAIN WILL FALL NORTH OF INTERSTATE 81. CLOUDS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY EVENING WITH SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHERN TO CENTRAL VIRGINIA. SKIES WILL CLEAR TUESDAY NIGHT WITH BREEZY...COOL CONDITIONS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY. UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH JUST A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN SATURDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED DURING THIS PERIOD AND CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEAR LIKELY FOR FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS. SPECIFIC DISCUSSION... OVERCAST CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REQUESTED AREA. A FEW SPRINKLES CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE EVENING...BUT MOST OF THIS WILL STAY WEST AND NORTH OF THE WILDFIRE AREA. A BETTER CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN WILL COME AFTER MIDNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING...BUT RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO ADD UP TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 50S INTO THE 40S AND REMAIN THERE MUCH OF THE NIGHT AND INTO THE DAY TUESDAY BEFORE FALLING INTO THE 30S TUESDAY NIGHT AS SKIES CLEAR. WINDS THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY WILL BE CALM OR LIGHT AND VARIABLE...FAVORING A SOUTHWEST DIRECTION IF ANY. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST LATE TUESDAY. THROUGH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THIS AREA. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......70 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............68 72 77 81 86 90 90 90 100 100 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE........RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TSTM COV............ TEMP................48 46 45 44 43 42 42 41 41 40 RH..................44 50 52 56 58 62 64 66 68 71 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S SW W W 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE SE SE SE E NE NE N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....3 3 2 1 1 1 2 3 5 5 CWR.................30 30 40 50 60 60 60 70 70 70 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). LIGHT RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......80 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 98 98 98 96 96 WEATHER COV.........LKY DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TSTM COV............ TEMP................38 38 39 40 41 42 42 43 43 43 43 42 RH..................76 77 74 72 71 71 71 71 72 73 74 78 20 FT WIND DIR......W W NW NW NW NW N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD......2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.....N N NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.....5 3 5 5 6 7 9 10 10 10 9 7 CWR.................70 80 70 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...BEASLEY REQUESTED BY...JOHN MONCURE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121126.101WI.01/RNK