FNUS75 KBOU 291311 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FERN LAKE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 546 AM MST THU NOV 29 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1819 MST ON NOVEMBER 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE DAY. HOWEVER...HUMIDITIES WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY AS SOME MOISTURE HAS MOVED INTO COLORADO BEHIND A WEAK PASSING WEATHER DISTURBANCE. THERE SHOULD BE A GRADUAL DECREASE IN WIND SPEEDS THIS EVENING...ONLY TO INCREASE AGAIN BY FRIDAY NIGHT WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH POSSIBLE. HUMIDITIES SHOULD REMAIN AT MODERATE LEVELS. FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR AT TIMES WITH SOMEWHAT WARMER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER FIRE DANGER EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY. AFTER A BRIEF CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT...MAINLY DRY BUT COOLER WEATHER CAN THEN BE EXPECTED FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THERE MAY BE A BETTER CHANCE OF SNOW BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK BUT THE CHANCE OF ANY SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION SEEMS QUITE LOW. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MIN HUMIDITY........32%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0600...THEN 3400-4400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35-45 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0700...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 12-19 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 11-13 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 15-20 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS AROUND 40. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FERN LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/29-05 53 1 0 28 44 W 17 26 2 1 W 31 517 W 33 14825 P 11/29-06 53 1 0 28 47 W 18 26 2 1 W 31 1380 W 36 48287 F 11/29-07 53 1 0 30 47 W 18 29 2 1 W 29 2243 W 39 81749 G 11/29-08 55 1 0 34 43 W 20 30 2 1 W 26 3106 W 43115211 V 11/29-09 55 1 0 37 41 W 20 30 2 1 W 24 3556 W 41127494 V 11/29-10 55 1 0 40 38 W 20 30 2 1 W 22 4006 W 40139776 V 11/29-11 46 0 0 43 35 W 20 30 2 1 WNW 20 4455 W 39152059 E 11/29-12 46 0 0 44 34 W 18 28 2 1 W 20 4445 W 38146943 V 11/29-13 46 0 0 45 32 W 17 25 2 1 W 21 4434 W 37141826 V 11/29-14 46 0 0 44 32 W 16 24 2 1 WSW 22 4424 W 36136710 V 11/29-15 46 0 0 42 33 W 17 26 2 1 W 25 4052 W 36125419 V 11/29-16 46 0 0 39 35 W 20 30 2 1 W 28 3681 W 36114128 V 11/29-17 48 0 0 36 38 W 21 31 2 1 W 30 3309 W 36102836 V 11/29-18 48 0 0 33 43 WSW 20 29 2 1 W 30 2925 W 33 87448 G 11/29-19 48 0 0 32 44 WSW 16 24 3 1 W 30 2541 W 32 72059 G 11/29-20 48 0 0 31 47 WSW 14 21 3 1 WNW 28 2157 W 30 56670 F 11/29-21 48 0 0 31 48 WSW 13 20 3 1 WNW 24 1965 W 29 49623 F 11/29-22 48 0 0 30 50 W 13 18 4 1 W 21 1774 W 28 42576 F 11/29-23 38 0 0 30 51 W 13 20 4 1 W 18 1582 W 25 35529 P 11/30-00 38 0 0 29 52 W 13 18 3 1 W 20 1394 W 24 29486 P 11/30-01 38 0 0 29 52 W 13 18 3 1 W 22 1205 W 22 23442 P 11/30-02 38 0 0 28 53 W 13 20 2 1 W 26 1016 W 20 17398 P 11/30-03 38 0 0 28 52 W 13 20 2 1 W 33 990 W 20 16468 P 11/30-04 38 0 0 28 52 W 13 20 2 1 W 40 964 W 18 15537 P 11/30-05 54 0 0 28 53 W 13 20 2 1 W 46 938 W 18 14607 P 11/30-06 54 0 0 29 52 W 13 18 2 1 W 47 973 W 17 15065 P 11/30-07 54 0 0 30 51 W 12 18 2 1 W 45 1007 W 17 15523 P 11/30-08 54 0 0 28 58 W 12 17 2 1 W 43 1042 W 17 15982 P 11/30-09 54 0 0 30 54 WSW 12 18 2 1 W 46 1626 W 21 32784 P 11/30-10 54 0 0 33 49 WSW 12 18 2 1 W 51 2211 W 24 49587 F 11/30-11 51 0 0 36 44 WSW 12 18 2 1 W 54 2795 W 28 66389 G 11/30-12 51 0 0 42 35 WSW 13 21 2 1 W 55 3426 W 31 96829 G 11/30-13 51 0 0 44 32 WSW 14 22 2 1 W 55 4057 W 35127268 V 11/30-14 54 0 0 45 31 WSW 15 24 2 1 W 55 4688 W 39157708 E 11/30-15 54 0 0 45 31 WSW 15 24 2 1 W 56 4305 W 40148526 V 11/30-16 54 0 0 43 34 WSW 14 23 2 1 W 59 3922 W 41139345 V 11/30-17 66 1 0 41 37 WSW 14 22 2 1 W 60 3539 W 43130163 V 11/30-18 66 1 0 38 42 WSW 14 23 2 1 W 60 3446 W 44130012 V 11/30-19 66 1 0 38 41 WSW 15 24 2 1 WSW 60 3352 W 45129862 V 11/30-20 66 1 0 37 42 W 16 25 2 1 WSW 61 3258 W 46129711 V 11/30-21 66 1 0 38 41 W 16 26 2 1 WSW 66 3495 W 48146161 V 11/30-22 66 1 0 38 43 WSW 17 26 2 1 WSW 70 3731 W 49162612 E 11/30-23 79 6 1 37 46 WSW 17 28 2 1 WSW 74 3968 W 52179062 E 12/01-00 79 6 1 36 48 W 18 29 2 1 WSW 74 3881 W 55186024 E 12/01-01 79 6 1 35 49 W 18 30 2 1 W 71 3794 W 59192986 E 12/01-02 79 6 1 34 52 W 20 31 2 1 W 68 3707 W 62199948 E 12/01-03 79 6 1 35 51 W 20 31 2 1 W 64 3373 W 61179162 E 12/01-04 79 6 1 33 57 W 20 31 2 1 W 60 3040 W 60158376 E 12/01-05 50 1 0 32 61 W 20 31 2 1 W 58 2706 W 59137590 V 12/01-06 50 1 0 32 60 W 20 32 2 1 W 56 2610 W 59132027 V 12/01-07 50 1 0 31 62 W 21 33 3 1 WNW 58 2514 W 58126463 V 12/01-08 50 1 0 31 61 W 21 33 3 1 WNW 59 2417 W 58120899 V 12/01-09 50 1 0 32 58 W 20 32 3 1 WNW 59 2741 W 56133721 V 12/01-10 50 1 0 35 52 W 20 31 3 1 W 59 3066 W 55146543 V 12/01-11 38 0 0 37 48 W 18 30 3 1 W 60 3390 W 54159365 E 12/01-12 38 0 0 42 39 W 18 30 3 1 W 61 4041 W 51175779 E 12/01-13 38 0 0 43 37 W 18 30 2 1 W 61 4693 W 48192192 E 12/01-14 38 0 0 44 35 W 18 30 2 1 W 62 5345 W 45208605 E 12/01-15 38 0 0 44 35 WSW 17 28 2 1 W 62 5039 W 43186706 E 12/01-16 38 0 0 42 38 WSW 15 24 2 1 W 61 4734 W 40164808 E 12/01-17 35 1 0 39 42 WSW 14 22 2 1 W 58 4429 W 37142910 V 12/01-18 35 1 0 36 48 WSW 14 22 2 1 W 52 3928 W 39130832 V 12/01-19 35 1 0 35 50 WSW 14 22 2 1 W 44 3428 W 40118754 V 12/01-20 35 1 0 35 50 WSW 14 22 2 1 W 36 2928 W 41106676 V 12/01-21 35 1 0 36 46 WSW 14 22 2 1 W 30 2756 W 40 97870 G 12/01-22 35 1 0 36 45 WSW 13 21 2 1 WSW 26 2584 W 39 89065 G 12/01-23 29 0 0 34 47 WSW 13 21 2 1 WSW 25 2412 W 38 80259 G 12/02-00 29 0 0 33 49 WSW 13 20 2 1 WSW 31 2260 W 38 75208 G 12/02-01 29 0 0 31 53 WSW 13 20 2 1 W 38 2107 W 38 70156 G 12/02-02 29 0 0 31 54 WSW 13 20 2 1 W 44 1954 W 38 65104 G 12/02-03 29 0 0 31 54 WSW 13 20 2 1 W 44 1774 W 36 56177 F 12/02-04 29 0 0 30 57 WSW 13 20 3 1 W 41 1594 WSW 33 47250 F 12/02-05 31 0 0 29 60 WSW 13 21 3 1 W 38 1414 WSW 31 38323 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH REQUESTED BY...NATE WILLIAMSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121128.FERNL.01/BOU