FNUS75 KBOU 281249 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LYNX PASS RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 549 AM MST WED NOV 28 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON NOVEMBER 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE ALOFT WITH INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL WITH HUMIDITY LOWERING INTO THE LOW 20% RANGE. WEST WINDS WILL MIX DOWN LATER THIS MORNING WITH SPEEDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH WITH SOME ENHANCEMENT POSSIBLE ALONG GORE CREEK. WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE A BIT STRONGER ALONG THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TONIGHT WHICH MAY KEEP MINIMUM TEMPERATURES AND MAXIMUM HUMIDITY MODERATED. BREEZY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THIS WEEK ALTHOUGH HUMIDITIES WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER. THE HIGHEST FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY OCCUR SUNDAY WHEN THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES COMBINE WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS. WITH REGARD TO PRECIPITATION...THERE IS LITTLE HOPE FOR ANY MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. AT BEST...THERE MAY BE A PASSING FLURRY OVER THE HIGHER RIDGES FRIDAY NIGHT AND THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A LIGHT SNOW SHOWER SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS A LITTLE STRONGER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. MIN HUMIDITY........22%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST 8-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 6400-7400 FT AGL AFTER 1000. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN WEST 25-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22. MAX HUMIDITY........71%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-9 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN SOUTHWEST 2-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1800. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MIN HUMIDITY........37%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST 8-11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0600. 6100-7100 FT AGL AFTER 1000. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-25 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN 25-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. CWR.................0 PERCENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 11-13 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LYNX PASS RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/28-05 39 0 0 20 68 WSW 5 5 5 1 W 36 575 SW 8 4228 P 11/28-06 39 0 0 20 66 WSW 5 5 5 1 WSW 35 748 SW 9 6451 P 11/28-07 39 0 0 21 57 WSW 6 6 4 1 WSW 35 922 SW 10 8673 P 11/28-08 52 0 0 24 49 WSW 7 7 4 1 WSW 35 1095 SW 12 10896 P 11/28-09 52 0 0 25 40 SW 8 13 4 1 WSW 38 2882 SW 16 52850 F 11/28-10 52 0 0 31 31 SW 8 14 4 1 WSW 43 4669 WSW 20 94804 G 11/28-11 52 0 0 37 26 SW 9 15 4 1 SW 44 6457 WSW 24136758 V 11/28-12 52 0 0 40 23 SW 10 16 4 1 WSW 43 6959 W 25153892 E 11/28-13 52 0 0 41 22 WSW 12 17 3 1 WSW 38 7461 W 26171026 E 11/28-14 37 0 0 40 23 WSW 12 18 3 1 W 33 7963 W 28188160 E 11/28-15 37 0 0 38 25 WSW 12 18 3 1 W 31 7008 W 26161510 E 11/28-16 37 0 0 35 30 WSW 10 17 3 1 W 29 6053 W 25134860 V 11/28-17 33 0 0 32 34 WSW 10 16 3 1 W 26 5098 W 24108210 V 11/28-18 33 0 0 30 38 WSW 10 16 3 1 W 23 3891 WSW 21 77684 G 11/28-19 33 0 0 28 42 WSW 9 15 3 1 W 20 2683 WSW 17 47158 F 11/28-20 33 0 0 26 46 SW 9 15 3 1 W 18 1476 SW 13 16633 P 11/28-21 33 0 0 26 46 SW 9 15 3 1 W 18 1417 SW 13 15902 P 11/28-22 33 0 0 25 49 SW 9 15 3 1 W 20 1359 SW 13 15172 P 11/28-23 53 0 0 25 50 SW 9 15 3 1 W 22 1300 SW 13 14441 P 11/29-00 53 0 0 24 54 SW 9 15 3 1 W 24 1168 SW 13 12945 P 11/29-01 53 0 0 24 57 SW 9 16 2 1 WSW 28 1035 SW 13 11449 P 11/29-02 53 0 0 23 62 SW 9 15 2 1 WSW 31 903 SW 13 9952 P 11/29-03 53 0 0 23 65 SW 7 7 2 1 WSW 35 858 SW 12 8851 P 11/29-04 53 0 0 23 67 SW 5 5 2 1 W 38 813 WSW 10 7749 P 11/29-05 56 0 0 22 71 SW 2 2 2 1 W 41 768 WSW 10 6647 P 11/29-06 56 0 0 22 70 CALM 1 2 1 W 46 1079 WSW 12 11130 P 11/29-07 56 0 0 22 70 CALM 0 2 1 W 49 1390 WSW 13 15613 P 11/29-08 56 0 0 24 65 CALM 0 2 1 WNW 52 1701 WSW 14 20096 P 11/29-09 56 0 0 28 57 S 2 2 2 1 WNW 52 3418 W 18 68925 G 11/29-10 56 0 0 32 50 SSW 6 6 2 1 WNW 52 5135 W 23117754 V 11/29-11 39 0 0 36 44 SW 9 14 2 1 WNW 49 6852 W 28166584 E 11/29-12 39 0 0 39 39 SW 12 17 2 1 WNW 48 6978 W 28164494 E 11/29-13 39 0 0 40 37 WSW 13 18 2 1 W 46 7104 W 26162405 E 11/29-14 39 0 0 40 37 WSW 13 20 2 1 W 45 7229 W 25160316 E 11/29-15 39 0 0 38 40 WSW 13 20 2 1 W 44 6749 W 24143351 V 11/29-16 39 0 0 35 45 WSW 12 18 2 1 W 43 6269 W 23126385 V 11/29-17 48 0 0 33 49 WSW 10 16 2 1 W 41 5789 W 22109420 V 11/29-18 48 0 0 31 54 WSW 8 8 2 1 W 41 5484 W 21 98570 G 11/29-19 48 0 0 29 59 SW 5 5 2 1 W 40 5178 WSW 20 87720 G 11/29-20 48 0 0 28 61 SSW 2 2 2 1 W 39 4873 WSW 18 76871 G 11/29-21 48 0 0 27 65 CALM 1 2 1 W 40 4474 WSW 18 71596 G 11/29-22 48 0 0 26 68 SSW 2 2 2 1 W 41 4075 WSW 18 66321 G 11/29-23 41 0 0 26 68 SW 2 2 2 1 W 43 3676 WSW 20 61046 G 11/30-00 41 0 0 25 71 SSW 2 2 2 1 W 44 3271 WSW 18 52192 F 11/30-01 41 0 0 24 74 S 2 2 2 1 W 45 2866 WSW 17 43337 F 11/30-02 41 0 0 23 77 S 2 2 2 1 W 46 2460 WSW 16 34482 P 11/30-03 41 0 0 22 80 CALM 1 2 1 W 46 2418 SW 16 32876 P 11/30-04 41 0 0 22 80 CALM 1 2 1 W 46 2376 SW 15 31270 P 11/30-05 34 0 0 22 81 CALM 1 2 1 W 47 2334 SW 15 29664 P 11/30-06 34 0 0 22 82 S 5 5 2 1 W 47 2518 SW 15 32751 P 11/30-07 34 0 0 23 80 S 8 8 2 1 W 47 2703 SW 15 35839 P 11/30-08 34 0 0 24 78 SSE 12 17 2 1 W 47 2888 SW 15 38927 P 11/30-09 34 0 0 28 67 S 13 20 2 1 W 49 3685 SW 17 60187 G 11/30-10 34 0 0 32 58 SSW 13 20 2 1 W 52 4483 WSW 20 81447 G 11/30-11 42 0 0 36 50 SW 13 20 2 1 WSW 53 5280 WSW 22102708 V 11/30-12 42 0 0 39 44 SW 13 18 2 1 W 54 5753 WSW 23113431 V 11/30-13 42 0 0 40 43 SW 13 18 2 1 W 55 6227 WSW 23124154 V 11/30-14 55 0 0 40 43 SW 13 20 2 1 W 55 6700 WSW 23134878 V 11/30-15 55 0 0 38 46 SW 14 21 2 1 W 52 5662 WSW 23113366 V 11/30-16 55 0 0 35 52 SW 15 22 2 1 W 49 4624 WSW 23 91854 G 11/30-17 55 13 3 33 56 SW 15 23 2 1 W 47 3586 SW 23 70342 G 11/30-18 55 13 3 31 61 SSW 14 22 2 1 WSW 48 3479 SW 24 72321 G 11/30-19 55 13 3 30 64 SSW 14 20 2 1 WSW 51 3373 SW 25 74299 G 11/30-20 55 13 3 29 67 SSW 13 20 2 1 WSW 54 3266 SW 26 76278 G 11/30-21 55 13 3 29 68 SSW 13 20 2 1 WSW 58 3521 SW 30 92253 G 11/30-22 55 13 3 28 71 SSW 14 21 2 1 WSW 62 3776 WSW 32108228 V 11/30-23 56 18 4 28 72 SW 15 23 2 1 WSW 67 4030 WSW 36124203 V 12/01-00 56 18 4 27 75 SW 15 23 2 1 WSW 73 3907 WSW 35117057 V 12/01-01 56 18 4 27 75 SW 15 23 2 1 WSW 77 3783 WSW 33109911 V 12/01-02 56 18 4 26 78 SW 15 22 2 1 WSW 79 3659 WSW 32102765 V 12/01-03 56 18 4 26 78 WSW 15 22 2 1 WSW 77 3948 WSW 33116264 V 12/01-04 56 18 4 26 78 WSW 14 21 2 1 W 74 4237 WSW 35129764 V 12/01-05 36 6 1 26 78 WSW 14 21 2 1 W 68 4526 W 37143263 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...KRIEDERMAN REQUESTED BY...LEE NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121128.LYNXP.01/BOU