FNUS74 KLIX 290100 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR CPT G-06...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 700 PM CST WED NOV 28 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS IS A REQUEST FOR A PLANNING SPOT FORECAST FOR A PRESCRIBED BURN TOMORROW. PLEASE WAIT UNTIL 00Z SOUNDING DATA IS AVAILABLE, BEFORE BEGINNING WORK ON THE SPOT FORECAST. WE WOULD PREFER THE FORECAST COVER THE TIME PERIODS FOR TONIGHT, TOMORROW, AND TOMORROW NIGHT. PLEASE REPORT ALL FORECAST ELEMENTS IN 1-HOUR INCREMENTS. NWS PRODUCTS REFERENCED IN OUR QUESTIONS: POINTANDCLICK FORECAST ISSUED AT 2:17PM FOR THIS LOCATION 30.46N, 88.69W. NWS NEW ORLEANS AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION ISSUED AT 3:26PM TODAY. 1. PLEASE INCLUDE A FOG POTENTIAL STATEMENT FOR THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING. WHAT TIME IS FOG MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THURSDAY EVENING AND POSSIBLY BECOMING DENSE AT TIMES BY FRIDAY MORNING. SURFACE WIND FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE EASTERLY BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SURFACE DEWPOINT ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO THE UPPER 40S THURSDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY DROP AFTER SUNSET TO REACH SATURATION BY 9 PM THURSDAY EVENING. UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BETWEEN 9 PM AND MIDNIGHT. SURFACE WINDS WILL BECOME NEARLY CALM...WITH A NORTHEAST COMPONENT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS MAY BECOME CALM AT TIMES AND FOG WILL LIKELY BECOME DENSE AT TIMES FROM 11 PM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH 7 AM FRIDAY MORNING. THE PATCHY NATURE WILL BE DUE TO THE LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED. 2. ACCORDING TO THE POINTANDCLICK FORECAST, WIND SPEED WILL BE VERY LIGHT BEGINNING AT 3AM FRIDAY MORNING. WHAT WILL BE THE MAIN FACTOR DETERMINING SMOKE MOVEMENT: DOWN-DRAINAGE FLOW, GRADIENT FLOW, OR SOME OTHER FACTOR PLEASE REFER TO NUMBER 1. 3. THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION MENTIONS AN UPPER LEVEL, SHEARED-OUT, SHORT WAVE TROUGH SLIDING THROUGH THE GULF SOUTH TOMORROW NIGHT. PLEASE INCLUDE A REMARK ON THE EFFECTS THIS WILL HAVE ON OUR WEATHER. FOR EXAMPLE, WILL IT AFFECT FOG POTENTIAL, WIND SPEED, OR WIND DIRECTION IS IT CAUSING THE 90 DEGREE DIFFERENCE IN THE SURFACE WIND / TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION THAT WE SEE IN THE POINTANDCLICK FORECAST THE EFFECTS OF THIS SHORT WAVE ACROSS OUR AREA WILL BE MINIMAL. ONLY HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT. .TONIGHT... TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............51 48 46 44 43 42 40 39 38 38 37 36 RH..............56 60 65 70 73 79 82 85 85 85 89 92 DEWPOINT........33 33 33 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 33 33 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 18 17 17 17 15 15 15 15 15 15 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 DISPERSION......20 20 20 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .THURSDAY... TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............35 35 37 43 50 55 60 63 65 66 65 63 RH..............92 96 96 82 66 57 49 46 45 45 50 58 DEWPOINT........33 34 36 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 46 48 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.1 4.1 4.1 MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 12 12 12 9 9 9 9 9 9 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 DISPERSION......6 6 6 5 5 13 38 38 38 45 45 45 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .THURSDAY NIGHT... TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........2 2 2 2 2 2 43 43 43 43 43 43 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 55 53 51 50 49 48 47 46 45 45 44 RH..............75 80 83 86 89 93 96 100 100 100 100 100 DEWPOINT........49 49 48 47 47 47 47 47 46 45 45 44 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 3 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.8 1.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 12 12 12 13 13 13 12 12 12 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 DISPERSION......24 24 24 10 10 10 8 8 8 8 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...SAMI GRAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121128.CPTG0.01/LIX