FNUS73 KPAH 281328 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST TRACT...SHAWNEE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 728 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON NOVEMBER 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... COLD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA TODAY BUT BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST LATER TODAY AND INTO THURSDAY. AS THAT OCCURS...SOUTH WINDS BEGIN TO RETURN TO THE REGION. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE QUITE LOW TODAY AND THURSDAY...BUT LIGHT WINDS AND LOW MIXING HEIGHTS WILL CREATE POOR DISPERSION. HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE FRIDAY AND BEYOND AS SOUTH WINDS INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE AREA. RATHER HUMID CONDITIONS AND SOUTH WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION WITH A BAND OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. OTHERWISE JUST SOME SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS EXISTS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........36 AT IGNITION...MAX 48. RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON/SUNSET. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............36 40 43 45 46 46 45 41 RH..............59 50 41 38 38 38 40 48 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW SW S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.5 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N NW NW NW W SW TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27. RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............38 35 33 32 31 30 RH..............54 61 66 69 72 75 20 FT WIND......SE 1 SE 1 SE 1 S 2 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55. RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............29 38 50 54 RH..............78 57 39 36 20 FT WIND......S 2G5 S 6G15 S 8G15 S 6G15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...FRANK PAUKERT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121128.WESTT.01/PAH