FNUS73 KPAH 300503 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR DEMUMBERS BLOCK B...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1103 PM CST THU NOV 29 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON NOVEMBER 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW OF WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. THESE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR ON THE BACK SIDE OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NORTH CAROLINA. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE RATED AS FAIR TO GOOD ON BOTH DAYS. HOWEVER...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER ON SATURDAY. THE NOCTURNAL INVERSION EACH DAY WILL NOT COMPLETELY BREAK UNTIL ABOUT NOON...AND WILL BE RE-ESTABLISHED BY AROUND 400 PM. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 63. RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1100-2800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 59 61 62 63 60 58 RH..............50 44 41 40 39 42 52 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.9 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW S S TRANSP WIND SPD.17 18 18 18 17 14 10 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............54 51 50 49 48 47 RH..............60 69 75 78 81 83 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 4 S 4 S 5 S 4 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 100 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 7 S 9 S 10 S 9 S 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66. RH..................MIN 56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1900-3000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC PC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............45 46 48 52 55 57 61 63 65 66 63 60 RH..............84 86 83 80 76 72 65 62 58 56 61 66 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.3 3.0 1.9 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 13 14 16 17 18 18 20 22 24 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 4 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...BLANCHARD REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CRIST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121130.DEMUM.01/PAH