FNUS73 KUNR 022102
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMMISSARY POINT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
202 PM MST SUN DEC 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1346 MST ON DECEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY THIS EVENING.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AROUND 60 THROUGH EARLY EVENING...BEFORE
DROPPING INTO THE MID 50S. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN AS LOW AS
15 PERCENT THROUGH SUNSET...AND WILL THEN SLOWLY INCREASE. THE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 30 PERCENT UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BETWEEN 2AM AND 4AM MST.
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. WIND GUSTS
AROUND 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH...GUSTS TO
                    40 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 TO 2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45
                    MPH THIS EVENING...DECREASING TO 15 TO 25 AROUND
                    MIDNIGHT. WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 30-40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51-53.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 TO 3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...NWS
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121202.COMMI.01/UNR