FNUS76 KMFR 030643
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MT ASHLAND HANDPILES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1043 PM PST SUN DEC 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON DECEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A BREAK IN THE STORMY PATTERN IS EXPECTED MONDAY. IT
WILL BE DRY AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN OVER NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER THE BREAK WILL BE SHORT. ANOTHER VERY STRONG
FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING SOUTH WINDS AND WIDESPREAD RAIN TO
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...WITH RAIN POSSIBLY
LASTING ALL THE WAY INTO WEDNESDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH
THROUGHOUT THE EVENT...BUT RAINFALL WILL BE HEAVY AGAIN...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE MOUNTAINS. IT LOOKS LIKE THE PATTERN WILL FINALLY CHANGE
LATE THIS WEEK WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW DEVELOPING OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY, THEN INCREASING CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-44.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WIND 2-5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN DEVELOPING IN THE LATE EVENING THEN
                    BECOMING STEADY TOWARD MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 25-35 MPH.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN, HEAVY AT TIMES AND WINDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-42.
MIN HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 40-50 MPH.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...DENICE EDGAR-SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121203.MTASH.01/MFR