FNUS75 KGJT 041550
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK RIVER PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
850 AM MST TUE DEC 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MST ON DECEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...STABLE WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TODAY AS MID AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS STREAM OVERHEAD. TERRAIN DOMINATED FLOW THIS
MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS BY EARLY
AFTERNOON AS SURFACE INVERSIONS MIX OUT ENOUGH TO PROVIDE AT LEAST
FAIR SMOKE DISPERSION THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-38 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1-3 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTH 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    10-15 MPH BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR BECOMING GOOD FOR
                    FOR A SHORT TIME AROUND 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1600 FT AGL AT 1200 INCREASING TO 2500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 UNTIL 1100..THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 16 MPH INCREASING TO 28 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...LANCE BROYLES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121204.ELKRI.01/GJT