FNUS76 KMFR 040612 CCA
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAPPY OAK HANDPILES - HORSE HELI...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1010 PM PST MON DEC 3 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON DECEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING PLENTY OF RAIN TO
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. WINDS AT THE
BURN SITE ARE LIKELY TO BE GUSTY FROM THE SOUTH DUE TO THE SOUTH
EXPOSURE AT A HIGH ELEVATION. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN VERY HIGH
THOUGH AND WILL LIKELY REMAIN ABOVE THE BURN AREA THROUGH THE EVENT.
RAIN WILL END WEDNESDAY MORNING FOLLOWED BY A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVELS WILL EVENTUALLY LOWER TO THE BURN ELEVATION BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING, BUT PRECIPITATION WILL BE ENDING. DRIER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST.


.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PERIODS OF RAIN, SOME HEAVY AND WINDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-42.
MIN HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 10-20 MPH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 40-50 MPH.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN, HEAVY AT TIMES AND WINDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-39.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 10-15 MPH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 35-45 MPH.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN ENDING IN THE MORNING...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-42, BUT FALLING IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST BECOMING WEST 5-15 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING THEN WEST AT 5-10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST NORTHWEST 15-20 MPH.
CWR.................75 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...DENICE EDGAR-SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121204.HAPPY.01/MFR