FNUS73 KUNR 051635
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOUNT RUSHMORE FIRE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
935 AM MST WED DEC 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0911 MST ON DECEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
TODAY...WITH WINDS SLOWLY DIMINISHING. A COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT INTO THE AREA
TONIGHT. BEHIND THE FRONT COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG WITH LOW CHANCES
FOR PRECIPITATION. WINDS MAY BRIEFLY BECOME GUSTY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR AVERAGE FOR THURSDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING LIKELY SNOWFALL TO THE BURN SITE...ALONG WITH
BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. CHILLY AND UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59.
RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    20 DECREASING TO 5 TO 12 MPH BY THIS AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    8 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...POSSIBLY
                    MIXED WITH SOME SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 29.
RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 7 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 37.
RH..................MIN 61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...JS
REQUESTED BY...PHIL GRAEVE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121205.MOUNT.01/UNR