FNUS73 KPAH 061436 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR ASHBY...SHAWNEE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 836 AM CST THU DEC 6 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON DECEMBER 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT OVER THE PLAINS STATES WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST...REACHING SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI ON FRIDAY. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...SOUTH WINDS WILL BRING MILDER AIR AND INCREASING MOISTURE. THE FRONT WILL STALL IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT SUNDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS. AS THE LOW REACHES THE GREAT LAKES ON SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTHEAST AS A STRONG COLD FRONT. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRECEDE THE COLD FRONT AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 58. RH..................69 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 200-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............47 50 54 56 57 57 57 56 RH..............69 64 59 57 57 58 63 69 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW S S TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 9 10 10 10 9 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51. RH..................MAX 98 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 49 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............55 54 53 53 53 52 RH..............75 82 87 91 90 92 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....500 300 200 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 6 SE 3 SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 SE 5 CWR.............0 0 0 40 40 50 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62. RH..................MIN 73 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................56 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............52 55 60 61 RH..............97 93 84 80 20 FT WIND......S 5G10 S 6G15 SW 6G15 S 6G15 CWR.............60 60 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PACKETT REQUESTED BY...FRANK PAUKERT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121206.ASHBY.01/PAH