FNUS73 KPAH 061439 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR PIGEON CREEK PILES...USFWS, CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 839 AM CST THU DEC 6 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CST ON DECEMBER 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT OVER THE PLAINS STATES WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST...REACHING SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI ON FRIDAY. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...SOUTH WINDS WILL BRING MILDER AIR AND INCREASING MOISTURE. THE FRONT WILL STALL IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT SUNDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS. AS THE LOW REACHES THE GREAT LAKES ON SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTHEAST AS A STRONG COLD FRONT. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRECEDE THE COLD FRONT AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 58. RH..................72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 200-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............43 47 50 54 56 57 57 56 55 RH..............72 66 61 57 55 55 57 61 67 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S SW S S TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 6 6 7 9 10 9 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 39 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 6 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............54 53 52 51 51 51 RH..............72 77 83 89 92 95 20 FT WIND......S 4 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 200 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 6 S 3 S 3 SE 3 SE 2 SE 2 CWR.............0 0 0 30 30 40 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62. RH..................MIN 70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1200-3100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............50 54 59 61 RH..............100 94 82 77 20 FT WIND......S 3G5 S 6G15 SW 6G15 S 6G15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 1200 3100 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 1 S 2 SW 14 SW 18 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PACKETT REQUESTED BY...RAY PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121206.PIGEO.01/PAH