FNUS73 KPAH 062111 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR PIGEON CREEK PILES...SHAWNEE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 311 PM CST THU DEC 6 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1510 CST ON DECEMBER 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT OVER THE PLAINS STATES WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST...REACHING SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI ON FRIDAY. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...SOUTH WINDS WILL BRING MILDER AIR AND INCREASING MOISTURE. THE FRONT WILL STALL IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT SUNDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS. AS THE LOW REACHES THE GREAT LAKES ON SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTHEAST AS A STRONG COLD FRONT. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRECEDE THE COLD FRONT AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 57. RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 200-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CST) 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............56 55 54 RH..............64 67 70 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.9 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 8 CWR.............0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 39 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 6 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............53 52 51 51 51 51 RH..............75 81 86 87 90 90 20 FT WIND......S 4 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 200 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 6 S 3 S 3 SE 3 SE 2 SE 2 CWR.............0 0 0 30 30 40 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62. RH..................MIN 70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1200-3100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............50 54 59 61 RH..............96 91 80 75 20 FT WIND......S 3G5 S 6G10 SW 6G15 S 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 1200 3100 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 1 S 2 SW 14 SW 18 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...TYSON TAYLOR TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121206.PIGEO.02/PAH