FNUS76 KPQR 061505
FWSPQR

SPOT FORECAST FOR JIM S CREEK HAND PILES...USFS WNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
705 AM PST THU DEC 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PST ON DECEMBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.


.DISCUSSION...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE WILLAMETTE
NATIONAL FOREST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BE CENTERED OVER THE FOREST TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WHICH WILL
LIMIT ANY PRECIPITATION THREAT. THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWER ACTIVITY
SEEMS TO BE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
AROUND 2500 TO 3000 FEET.

IN THE LONGER RANGE...THE UPPER FLOW TURNS MORE OUT OF THE NORTH
OVER THE WEEKEND...WHICH SHOULD BE A DRIER PATTERN FOR THE AREA.
LATEST MODEL RUNS SHOW A WEAK SYSTEM DROPPING OVER THE TOP OF THE
RIDGE LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE SYSTEM MAY NOT BE STRONG
ENOUGH TO MAKE IT ALL THE WAY DOWN INTO THE MIDDLE FORK DISTRICT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (%).............0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42 AT THE TOP TO 45 LOWEST ELEVATIONS.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 TO 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    THEN WEST TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. AFTERNOON
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH.

NOTE:  THE WIND FORECAST IS PRIMARILY BASED ON EMIGRANT RAWS.
EYE-LEVEL WIND AT THE SITE WILL LIKELY BE MORE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
DURING THE AFTERNOONS.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL 2500
                    TO 3000 FEET.
CWR (%).............0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32 TO 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 TO 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH EARLY EVENING THEN
                    GENERALLY NORTH OR DOWN-SLOPE TO 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVEL 3000 FEET.
CWR (%).............0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41 TOP TO 44 BOTTOM.
MIN HUMIDITY........72 TO 79 PERCENT...HIGHEST AT THE TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN WEST TO
                    NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.

.EXTENDED FORECAST SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW
LEVEL 3000 FEET. HIGHS 40 TO 44. 20-FOOT DAYTIME WIND NORTHWEST 5
TO 10 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. 20-FOOT
DAYTIME WIND NORTHWEST TO NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. AFTERNOON GUSTS TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS THEN PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 40 TO 45. 20-FOOT DAYTIME WIND
NORTHWEST TO NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...WEISHAAR
REQUESTED BY...ALISON RICHARDS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121206.JIMSC.01/PQR