FNUS75 KGJT 100508 FWSGJT SPOT FORECAST FOR TOMICHI CREEK...USFS GUNNISON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 1008 PM MST SUN DEC 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON DECEMBER 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT ALLOWED STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING AND STEEP SURFACE-BASED INVERSIONS TO FORM. THESE WILL BE IN THE VALLEY BOTTOMS AND BELOW THE PROJECT SITE. STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA AND ANOTHER WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL CAUSE SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE EVENING. TUESDAY WILL SEE A DRIER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. TUESDAY WILL BE MORE STABLE BUT DISPERSAL SHOULD STILL REACH FAIR AND BRIEFLY GOOD. A STRONG INVERSION ALOFT WILL LIMIT COLUMN RISE TO 3500 FT TODAY AND 2500 FT TUESDAY, BUT THIS WILL COMBINE WITH A STRONG AFTERNOON TRANSPORT WIND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) UNTIL 1000, THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) WITH OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1000, THEN UPSLOPE 5 MPH. AFTER 1200 BECOMING ENHANCED UPSLOPE OF 7-12 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 (37500 KNOT-FT), THEN FAIR. INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY 1400. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4 MPH UNTIL 1000, THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 35 MPH. .TONIGHT... SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1800 THEN GRADUALLY DECREASING TO POOR BY 2300. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (30000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1000, THEN FAIR. BRIEFLY GOOD FROM 1400 TO 1530. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL, INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL BY 1400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4 MPH UNTIL 1000, THEN INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 30 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO REQUESTED BY...J CHONKA TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121210.TOMIC.01/GJT