FNUS75 KGJT 110649 FWSGJT SPOT FORECAST FOR WILEY GULCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 1149 PM MST MON DEC 10 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON DECEMBER 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AND UPPER RIDGE WILL BE BUILDING OVER WESTERN COLORADO ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL BE PUSHING IN WARMER AIR ALOFT...INCREASING STABILITY AND PUSHING THE MIXING HEIGHT DOWNWARD THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. HOWEVER WESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS LOOK STRONG ENOUGH TO BRING FAIR TO GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL FROM LATE MORNING INTO THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. THE RIDGE WILL BE SHIFTING EASTWARD OVERNIGHT AS THE NEXT SYSTEM BUILDS DOWN THE WEST COAST. WINDS WILL BE SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS OVERHEAD BRINGING WARMER TEMPERATURES INTO THE THE REGION AND HELPING TO WEAKEN THE INVERSION ALOFT. GOOD TO VERY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS LEAD TO STRONGER TRANSPORT WINDS. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) EARLY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) BY MID MORNING. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH THROUGH 1100 THEN BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AT 5 TO 10 MPH. RIDGETOP WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH LATE MORNING THEN INCREASING TO GOOD BY EARLY AFTERNOON. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH NEAR SUNSET. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%). 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNVALLEY WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH THROUGH MID MORNING BECOMING WEST AT 7 TO 12 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH MID MORNING INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY MID AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS REQUESTED BY...ARTHUR HAINES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121211.WILEY.01/GJT