FNUS75 KBOU 131032 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG CREEK PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 323 AM MST THU DEC 13 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON DECEMBER 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE REGION. IT WILL BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH MAINLY UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE MOVING OVER THE AREA. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE GOOD BY THIS AFTERNOON. MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE STATE ON FRIDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST MOVES INTO SOUTHERN COLORADO. THIS WILL RESULT IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW ON FRIDAY. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED OVER THE WEEKEND WITH CHANCE OF SNOW THROUGH THE PERIOD. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33-35. MIN HUMIDITY........38-41% WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 6200-7200 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 3800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%) UNTIL 2300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-25. MAX HUMIDITY........59-63%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1900 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32. MIN HUMIDITY........51-53%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 3700-4700 FT AGL AFTER 1100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN EAST. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 11-16 MPH. .MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS 12-16 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BIG CREEK PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR TF RH 20FT G H L MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L AGL MPH KT-FT 12/13-03 61 2 0 19 65 SW 13 21 263 SW 21 4615 P 12/13-04 61 2 0 18 67 SW 14 22 313 SW 20 5399 P 12/13-05 52 0 0 18 67 SW 14 22 364 SW 20 6183 P 12/13-06 52 0 0 18 67 SW 13 21 383 SW 20 6344 P 12/13-07 52 0 0 19 64 SW 13 20 402 SW 18 6504 P 12/13-08 52 0 0 21 59 SW 12 18 422 SW 18 6665 P 12/13-09 52 0 0 24 54 SW 12 18 2300 SW 22 55850 12/13-10 52 0 0 28 47 SW 13 20 4177 SW 25 105034 V 12/13-11 58 0 0 32 41 SW 13 21 6055 SW 29 154219 E 12/13-12 58 0 0 34 39 SW 13 21 6621 SW 30 172688 E 12/13-13 58 0 0 35 38 SW 13 21 7187 SW 31 191157 E 12/13-14 58 0 0 35 38 SW 13 21 7753 SW 31 209627 E 12/13-15 58 0 0 33 41 SW 12 17 5798 SW 26 148604 V 12/13-16 58 0 0 30 45 SW 9 14 3843 SW 21 87581 G 12/13-17 64 0 0 27 50 SW 7 7 1888 SW 16 26558 P 12/13-18 64 0 0 25 55 SW 6 6 1332 SW 15 18436 P 12/13-19 64 0 0 23 60 S 6 6 775 SW 13 10313 P 12/13-20 64 0 0 22 62 S 6 6 219 S 12 2190 P 12/13-21 64 0 0 21 63 S 6 6 267 SW 12 2846 P 12/13-22 64 0 0 20 64 SW 6 6 315 SW 13 3502 P 12/13-23 55 6 1 20 62 SW 6 6 363 SW 13 4158 P 12/14-00 55 6 1 20 62 SW 6 6 372 SW 14 4325 P 12/14-01 55 6 1 20 62 SW 6 6 381 SW 14 4492 P 12/14-02 55 6 1 20 62 SW 6 6 391 SW 14 4659 P 12/14-03 55 6 1 20 61 S 6 6 381 SW 13 4237 P 12/14-04 55 6 1 19 62 S 7 7 371 SW 12 3814 P 12/14-05 69 13 3 19 62 S 7 7 361 SW 10 3392 P 12/14-06 69 13 3 20 60 S 8 13 370 SW 9 3030 P 12/14-07 69 13 3 20 62 S 9 14 380 S 8 2668 P 12/14-08 69 13 3 22 59 S 9 15 390 S 7 2306 P 12/14-09 69 13 3 25 56 SW 9 14 1826 S 10 23581 P 12/14-10 69 13 3 28 54 SW 8 13 3262 SE 13 44856 12/14-11 83 44 21 31 51 SW 7 7 4698 E 16 66132 G 12/14-12 83 44 21 32 51 S 6 6 4696 E 15 61914 G 12/14-13 83 44 21 32 53 E 6 6 4694 E 14 57695 12/14-14 83 44 21 31 56 E 6 6 4693 E 13 53477 12/14-15 83 44 21 29 59 NE 6 6 4127 E 12 42599 12/14-16 83 44 21 28 59 N 7 7 3562 NE 9 31721 P 12/14-17 86 44 21 27 60 NW 8 13 2996 N 8 20843 P 12/14-18 86 44 21 27 63 NW 8 14 2851 N 9 23344 P 12/14-19 86 44 21 26 71 W 9 14 2706 NW 12 25845 P 12/14-20 86 44 21 26 74 W 9 15 2561 W 13 28346 P 12/14-21 86 44 21 24 81 W 9 15 2297 W 15 28503 P 12/14-22 86 44 21 22 87 W 9 15 2032 W 17 28661 P 12/14-23 81 46 23 21 88 W 9 15 1768 W 18 28819 P 12/15-00 81 46 23 20 89 W 10 16 2114 W 21 39935 P 12/15-01 81 46 23 20 87 W 10 17 2461 W 23 51052 12/15-02 81 46 23 21 81 W 12 18 2808 W 25 62169 G 12/15-03 81 46 23 21 79 W 12 18 2657 W 25 57889 12/15-04 81 46 23 20 82 W 12 18 2507 W 24 53609 12/15-05 79 40 18 20 81 W 12 18 2356 W 24 49329 12/15-06 79 40 18 19 83 W 12 18 2174 W 23 44254 12/15-07 79 40 18 18 85 W 13 20 1992 W 23 39180 P 12/15-08 79 40 18 18 84 W 13 21 1810 W 22 34106 P 12/15-09 79 40 18 20 78 W 14 22 2641 W 23 54031 12/15-10 79 40 18 22 73 W 14 23 3472 W 24 73955 G 12/15-11 93 43 20 24 68 W 15 24 4303 W 25 93879 G 12/15-12 93 43 20 25 66 W 16 25 4559 W 25 100877 V 12/15-13 93 43 20 25 67 W 16 25 4815 W 25 107875 V 12/15-14 93 43 20 24 71 W 16 25 5071 W 26 114872 V 12/15-15 93 43 20 23 75 W 16 25 4812 W 25 104484 V 12/15-16 93 43 20 21 82 W 15 23 4553 W 24 94096 G 12/15-17 88 42 19 20 84 W 14 22 4294 W 22 83707 G 12/15-18 88 42 19 19 85 W 13 21 4221 W 21 77264 G 12/15-19 88 42 19 18 85 W 13 21 4147 W 20 70821 G 12/15-20 88 42 19 18 80 W 13 21 4074 W 18 64378 G 12/15-21 88 42 19 18 75 W 14 21 4112 W 18 64096 G 12/15-22 88 42 19 17 74 W 14 23 4150 W 17 63813 G 12/15-23 71 39 17 17 70 W 15 24 4188 W 17 63531 G 12/16-00 71 39 17 16 72 W 15 24 4039 W 17 61423 G 12/16-01 71 39 17 16 72 W 15 24 3891 W 17 59315 12/16-02 71 39 17 15 77 W 15 24 3742 W 17 57207 12/16-03 71 39 17 14 81 W 14 23 3401 W 18 53774 12/16-04 71 39 17 12 90 W 13 21 3059 W 20 50341 12/16-05 75 34 13 12 91 SW 13 21 2717 W 20 46909 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...COOPER REQUESTED BY...CASEY CHEESBROUGH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121212.BIGCR.01/BOU