FNUS72 KMFL 121044
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR EE6 BLACKLINE 1...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
544 AM EST WED DEC 12 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON DECEMBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE COMBINATION OF A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS CENTRAL
FLORIDA AND A MID TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH FORECAST TO
ENTER THE NORTHERN GULF LATER TODAY WILL RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE BURN AREA
TODAY. WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR 45 TO 55 MPH
MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BURN SITE. THE MIXING HEIGHTS TODAY
WILL BE SUPPRESSED WITH MAXIMUM DISPERSION VALUES FORECAST
TO BE POOR TO FAIR ACROSS THE BURN AREA. THE FRONT
IS FORECAST TO ENTER THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY
AND THEN INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS EARLY FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 63 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....30 INCREASING TO 40 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 19 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........56     56     48     48     48     51
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............78     84     85     82     78     74
RH..............82     65     63     67     76     87
20 FT WIND......SE 6   SE 6   S 7    S 5    S 5    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....2900   2900   2900   1600   1600   300
MIXNG WIND......SE 12  SE 12  S 13   S 9    S 9    S 5
DISPERSION IDX..27     27     40     19     19     2
LVORI...........3      3      1      3      3      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     20
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 2
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 63 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 7 TO 16
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 38 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...DIEHL
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK EDWARDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121212.EE6BL.01/MFL