BMBB91 KLIX 121231
STQLIX

A SPOT FORECAST REQUEST HAS JUST BEEN RECEIVED FOR A PRESCRIBED FIRE
NAMED "CPT G-19-11NE"

           PRIORITY:  IMMEDIATE
               DATE:  12/12/12
               TIME:  0800
       PROJECT NAME:  CPT G-19-11NE
       PROJECT TYPE:  PRESCRIBED
  REQUESTING AGENCY:  U.S. FWS
REQUESTING OFFICIAL:  Sami Gray
     REQUEST REASON:  IAMS
                FAX:  (228) 497-9612
    EMERGENCY PHONE:  (228) 219-3937
           LOCATION:
              STATE:
               DLAT:   30.43091
               DLON:    88.67151
           EXPOSURE:  flat
          FUEL TYPE:  Grass, Shrub, Timber
         SHELTERING:  PARTIAL
   BOTTOM ELEVATION:  5
      TOP ELEVATION:  40
       SIZE (ACRES):  185

WEATHER CONDITIONS AT PROJECT OR FROM NEARBY STATIONS
SHCM6 ELEV=25 TIME=0551 WIND=NNE@3G7 T=40 TW=38 RH=80 TD= N/A
TS629 ELEV=150 TIME=0546 WIND=NNW@2G5 T=37 TW=36 RH=90 TD= N/A
KPQL ELEV=16 TIME=0553 WIND=NNE@8 T=40 TW=37 RH=76 TD= MOSTLY CLOUDY
GRBM6 ELEV=7 TIME=0525 WIND=N@4G7 T=40 TW=38 RH=80 TD= N/A

...REMARKS...
Please report forecast elements in
1-hour increments for today,
tonight, and tomorrow.

Due to an error posting the Spot
Forecast for CPT G-19 last night,
we are providing feedback here.

Spot Forecast Verification   CPT
G-19   Tuesday, 11-Dec-2012

Temps below forecast first couple
of hoursaccurate after that.  RH
well above forecast through
1amaccurate after that.  Dewpoint
slightly higher than forecast all
night.  Wind direction close to
accurate all night. Wind speed a
little below forecast all night.
Wind gusts close to accurate
through 1am below forecast after
that.  No rain observed through
4am.


NWS products consulted:

1. Spot Forecast for CPT G-19
issued 7:13pm Tuesday.

2. PointAndClick forecast for CPT
G-19 location 30.44N 88.67W, issued 4:17 am Wednesday Dec 12, 2012.

3. New Orleans Area Forecast
Discussion issued 4:55am Wednesday
Dec 12, 2012


QUESTIONS

Our main concern today is proximity to the south side of I-10.

1. Please include a Fog Potential
Statement for Wednesday
night/Thursday morning, and for
Thursday night/Friday morning.
What are the timeframes for most
likely occurrences

2. According to Area Forecast
Discussion, rain is ending sooner
and sky is clearing earlier than
expected.  Will this cause lower
RH than expected  Should we
expect RH to drop below 28, and
if so, for what duration

3. If rain does occur, how much
accumulation should we expect

4. According to PointAndClick
Forecast, Wednesday night wind speed is lower than expected.  Should
we be prepared for variable wind directions What will be the main
factor determining movement of
smoke: gradient flow,
down-drainage flow, or some other
factor

RAWS LOCATIONS:

SCHCM6: 1 mile NE
TS629: 13 miles NNW
KPQL: 9 miles ENE
GRBM6: 14 miles ESE

...WEATHER PARAMETERS REQUESTED...
          SKY / WEATHER: 1,1,1
            TEMPERATURE: 1,1,1
      RELATIVE HUMIDITY: 1,1,1
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION: 1,1,1
          MIXING HEIGHT: 1,1,1
        TRANSPORT WINDS: 1,1,1
           20 FOOT WIND: 1,1,1

SITE:  LIX
OFILE:  20121212.CPTG1.01
TIMEZONE:  CST6CDT