FNUS75 KBOU 131023 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR OWL MTN PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 312 AM MST THU DEC 13 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON DECEMBER 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE REGION. IT WILL BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH TONIGHT WITH MAINLY UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE MOVING OVER THE AREA. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE GOOD BY THIS AFTERNOON. MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE STATE ON FRIDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST MOVES INTO SOUTHERN COLORADO. THIS WILL RESULT IN A CHANCE OF SNOW ON FRIDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34. MIN HUMIDITY........35%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2500-3500 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 5300-6300 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 2900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN 20-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 14. MAX HUMIDITY........66%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32. MIN HUMIDITY........45%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN EAST 9-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2500-3500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN EAST. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN POOR. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS 12-13 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 7. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR OWL MTN PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR TF RH 20FT G H L MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L AGL MPH KT-FT 12/13-03 48 0 0 14 67 SW 12 18 340 SW 18 5515 P 12/13-04 48 0 0 13 70 SW 12 18 327 SW 18 5262 P 12/13-05 55 0 0 12 73 SW 12 18 314 SW 18 5009 P 12/13-06 55 0 0 12 71 SW 10 16 324 SW 17 4793 P 12/13-07 55 0 0 14 64 SW 9 14 333 SW 16 4578 P 12/13-08 55 0 0 16 59 S 8 13 342 SW 15 4362 P 12/13-09 55 0 0 20 52 SW 8 14 1605 SW 18 34188 P 12/13-10 55 0 0 25 45 SW 9 15 2869 SW 22 64014 G 12/13-11 55 0 0 29 41 SW 10 16 4132 SW 26 93840 G 12/13-12 55 0 0 32 37 SW 12 18 5111 SW 26 121593 V 12/13-13 55 0 0 34 35 SW 12 18 6090 SW 28 149347 V 12/13-14 55 0 0 34 35 SW 12 18 7069 SW 29 177100 E 12/13-15 55 0 0 31 38 SW 10 16 4988 SW 22 120316 V 12/13-16 55 0 0 28 42 SW 8 13 2907 SW 16 63531 G 12/13-17 53 0 0 25 46 SW 6 6 826 SW 9 6747 P 12/13-18 53 0 0 22 51 SW 5 5 649 SW 9 5134 P 12/13-19 53 0 0 20 55 SW 3 3 471 S 8 3521 P 12/13-20 53 0 0 18 59 SW 3 3 294 S 7 1907 P 12/13-21 53 0 0 17 59 SW 3 3 370 S 8 2759 P 12/13-22 53 0 0 16 60 SW 5 5 446 SW 9 3610 P 12/13-23 51 5 1 16 59 SW 5 5 522 SW 10 4461 P 12/14-00 51 5 1 15 61 S 5 5 612 SW 10 5617 P 12/14-01 51 5 1 15 61 S 5 5 701 SW 12 6774 P 12/14-02 51 5 1 14 64 S 5 5 791 SW 12 7931 P 12/14-03 51 5 1 14 63 S 5 5 698 SW 10 6447 P 12/14-04 51 5 1 14 63 S 3 3 606 SW 9 4964 P 12/14-05 68 15 3 14 64 S 5 5 513 SW 8 3480 P 12/14-06 68 15 3 14 66 S 8 8 504 S 8 3759 P 12/14-07 68 15 3 15 66 SE 10 16 494 SE 9 4039 P 12/14-08 68 15 3 18 62 SE 13 21 485 SE 10 4318 P 12/14-09 68 15 3 23 54 SE 15 24 1685 SE 13 23217 P 12/14-10 68 15 3 29 47 SE 17 26 2885 SE 15 42116 12/14-11 86 49 25 32 45 SE 17 28 4085 E 17 61016 G 12/14-12 86 49 25 31 50 SE 16 25 3669 E 14 47434 12/14-13 86 49 25 29 57 SE 13 21 3252 E 12 33852 P 12/14-14 86 49 25 27 63 E 10 16 2836 E 8 20270 P 12/14-15 86 49 25 26 64 E 8 14 2585 NE 9 21003 P 12/14-16 86 49 25 25 64 N 7 7 2335 N 12 21735 P 12/14-17 87 40 18 24 65 N 7 7 2084 N 13 22467 P 12/14-18 87 40 18 23 70 NW 8 13 1950 NW 14 22542 P 12/14-19 87 40 18 22 78 NW 10 16 1816 NW 15 22617 P 12/14-20 87 40 18 21 84 W 12 18 1683 NW 15 22692 P 12/14-21 87 40 18 20 88 W 13 20 1622 W 17 23588 P 12/14-22 87 40 18 20 86 W 13 20 1562 W 18 24483 P 12/14-23 82 47 23 19 88 W 13 21 1502 W 20 25378 P 12/15-00 82 47 23 19 87 W 13 21 1549 W 20 27090 P 12/15-01 82 47 23 18 89 W 14 22 1596 W 21 28801 P 12/15-02 82 47 23 18 88 W 14 22 1643 W 22 30513 P 12/15-03 82 47 23 17 89 W 14 22 1465 W 21 27024 P 12/15-04 82 47 23 17 86 W 13 21 1287 W 21 23535 P 12/15-05 74 39 17 16 88 W 13 21 1109 W 21 20046 P 12/15-06 74 39 17 15 90 W 13 21 1023 W 21 18171 P 12/15-07 74 39 17 14 92 W 14 23 937 W 20 16295 P 12/15-08 74 39 17 14 92 W 15 24 850 W 20 14419 P 12/15-09 74 39 17 17 81 W 15 24 1933 W 22 40936 12/15-10 74 39 17 21 69 W 16 25 3016 W 24 67453 G 12/15-11 82 36 14 24 62 W 16 25 4098 W 26 93970 G 12/15-12 82 36 14 25 61 W 17 26 4444 W 26 102298 V 12/15-13 82 36 14 25 62 W 17 28 4789 W 26 110626 V 12/15-14 82 36 14 24 65 W 17 28 5135 W 26 118954 V 12/15-15 82 36 14 23 69 W 16 26 4806 W 26 110641 V 12/15-16 82 36 14 21 75 W 15 24 4476 W 26 102327 V 12/15-17 88 39 17 20 77 W 14 22 4147 W 26 94014 G 12/15-18 88 39 17 19 78 W 13 21 4054 W 25 89284 G 12/15-19 88 39 17 18 78 W 13 21 3961 W 24 84555 G 12/15-20 88 39 17 17 77 W 13 21 3869 W 24 79825 G 12/15-21 88 39 17 16 76 W 14 22 3520 W 23 71316 G 12/15-22 88 39 17 15 76 W 14 23 3171 W 23 62806 G 12/15-23 65 36 14 14 77 W 15 24 2822 W 22 54296 12/16-00 65 36 14 14 75 W 15 24 2799 W 22 54362 12/16-01 65 36 14 14 74 W 15 23 2776 W 23 54428 12/16-02 65 36 14 13 76 W 14 22 2753 W 23 54494 12/16-03 65 36 14 11 83 W 13 21 2517 W 23 49585 12/16-04 65 36 14 10 87 W 12 20 2280 W 23 44675 12/16-05 72 23 5 10 87 W 12 18 2044 W 22 39765 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...COOPER REQUESTED BY...CASEY CHEESBROUGH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121213.OWLMT.01/BOU