FNUS75 KGJT 131558
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOAT CREEK PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
858 AM MST THU DEC 13 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON DECEMBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TODAY WILL BECOME SOUTH TONIGHT
AS THE NEXT STORM CURRENTLY ALONG THE WEST COAST MOVES INLAND.
MORNING INVERSION WILL MIX OUT ENOUGH BE NOON TO ALLOW SURFACE
WINDS AND VERTICAL MIXING TO INCREASE TO BOOST SMOKE DISPERSION
TO FAIR OR BETTER. CHANCE OF SNOW INCREASES AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE ON FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 9-13 MPH
                    BY 1200. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH AFTER 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5200-14800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR
                    AFTER 1200 AND VERY GOOD BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 28 MPH AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS
                    DEVELOPING IN THE EVENING...WITH NUMEROUS SNOW
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-27 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 8-12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR BY 2100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 28 MPH DECREASING TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...ERIC BRANTINGHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121213.GOATC.01/GJT