FNUS75 KGJT 131848
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH PONDO PILES...SOUTHERN UTE AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1148 AM MST THU DEC 13 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON DECEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHWEST COLORADO LATE
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THE FIRST OF TWO DISTURBANCES PASSES.
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
THE SECOND DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH DURING THE DAY ON
SATURDAY BUT CARRY A LESSER CHANCE OF ACCUMULATIONS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-33 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 8-12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5-10 MPH
                    BY 1100...THEN TO THE SOUTHWEST 7-10 MPH AFTER 1400.
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (18700-24800 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR
                    INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 29
                    MPH AFTER 1400.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80%). SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (22600 KNOT-FT) EXCEPT FAIR IN SNOW SHOWERS.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING WITH ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....27-32 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11400-28200 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15 IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...MATT FLYING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121214.SOUTH.01/GJT