FNUS75 KGJT 140645
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR STAGESTOP MURDIE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1145 PM MST THU DEC 13 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MST ON DECEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STORM WILL BE MOVING OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY
BRINGING TIMES OF MODERATE SNOWFALL. THIS PRECIPITATION ALONG
WITH SOME MID-LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW MIXING LEVELS TO
REMAIN FAIRLY HIGH BRINGING GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL. OROGRAPHIC
SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY KEEPING MIXING
LEVELS FAIRLY HIGH ALLOWING SMOKE DISPERSAL TO AGAIN BE IN THE
GOOD RANGE. OF NOTE...EXPECT GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL VALUES TO BE
REACHED FROM ROUGHLY 1PM THROUGH 8 PM BEFORE DROPPING BACK DOWN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH INCREASING TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 12 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...ARTHUR HAINES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121214.STAGE.01/GJT