FNUS74 KLZK 141329 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR 1227 STAND 12...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 729 AM CST FRI DEC 14 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0730 CST ON DECEMBER 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WARMER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION IN THE UPPER LEVELS...WHICH WILL ACT TO KEEP A TEMPERATURE INVERSION TODAY. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE...AND AS A RESULT...CLOUDS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION AND REMAIN TRAPPED BENEATH THE INVERSION. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL LIKELY STAY BELOW 3000 FEET ASL TODAY. AT THE BURN SITE...CALM WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST AT 3-5 MPH MID MORNING...THEN INCREASE TO AROUND 8 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. A WARM FRONT WILL REMAIN TO THE SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE WHICH...WHEN COMBINED WITH STRENGTHENING INVERSION AND INCOMING CLOUD COVER...SHOULD KEEP WIND GUST POTENTIAL ON THE LOW SIDE. ALSO...HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE CONSIDERABLY HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY THANKS TO INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........37 AT IGNITION...MAX 53. RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS EARLY...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 3-5 MPH MID MORNING. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 8 BY MPH EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2500 FT MSL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TEMP............37 37 40 43 48 49 53 53 52 51 50 RH..............67 70 70 64 57 49 49 44 47 50 54 20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE E E E S S SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 3 5 5 9 9 10 10 7 20 FT WIND GUST.7 4 4 4 5 5 11 11 11 11 14 EYE LVL WND DIR.S SE SE E E E S S SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.2 1 1 2 3 3 5 5 6 6 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 2 2 2 3 3 6 6 6 6 8 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 14 15 16 18 21 22 24 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 25 TO 28 MPH. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............48 48 47 46 46 46 46 46 46 48 49 50 RH..............54 58 63 68 71 75 78 82 85 85 85 85 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 18 18 18 18 18 18 14 11 11 11 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 11 11 11 11 11 11 8 6 6 6 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.25 26 26 26 26 25 25 25 26 26 26 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 40 50 60 60 70 60 50 40 40 30 .SATURDAY... 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 10 12 12 13 12 12 10 9 7 20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 14 14 14 18 18 18 18 18 14 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121214.1227S.01/LZK