FNUS74 KLZK 171340 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR STONER POINT FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 736 AM CST MON DEC 17 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0704 CST ON DECEMBER 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN EXTREMELY SLOW MOVING FRONT IS DRAPED ACROSS ARKANSAS THIS MORNING BUT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH EASTWARD THROUGH THE STATE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT OF THE FRONT...40S AND 50S DEWPOINTS IN THE SOUTHEAST OBSERVED THIS MORNING...WILL BEGIN TO FALL INTO THE 30S WITH RH VALUES FALLING AS WELL. THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL ALSO CAUSE SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS MORNING...TO BECOME OUT OF THE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE ENTIRE STATE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 10 AND 15 KNOTS WILL BE COMMON. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ON MONDAY. A WEAK SURFACE HIGH WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY AND BRING A RETURN OF WARM SOUTHERLY WINDS TO THE STATE. DEWPOINTS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN IN THE 30S THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY...AND NOT BEGIN TO INCREASE UNTIL WEDNESDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES. WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 KNOTS ON TUESDAY...THIS COMBINED WITH MIN RH VALUES IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED. PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN TO THE NATURAL STATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH BEST CHANCES OCCURRING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH CHANCES DIMINISHING BY THURSDAY MORNING. SOME SHOWERS MAY LINGER ACROSS THE NORTH THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........46 AT REQUEST...MAX 56. RH..................73 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 43 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4700 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RNF RNF RNF RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............46 47 48 50 52 54 55 55 55 54 51 RH..............73 70 67 64 58 53 49 46 45 50 55 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 9 9 8 9 9 9 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 9 9 9 8 9 9 9 8 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 MIX HGT (KFT)...4700 FT MSL TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 17 17 16 17 18 20 20 18 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35. RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 7 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 1900 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....6. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............48 47 45 44 43 42 41 41 40 39 40 39 RH..............55 58 61 64 65 67 68 69 70 71 68 69 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W SW S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W W SW S S S SE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W SW S S SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.14 10 7 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62. RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4300 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............39 39 40 44 48 52 56 58 60 61 59 57 RH..............69 72 72 67 57 50 44 41 39 37 40 45 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 5 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 MIX HGT (KFT)...4300 FT MSL TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.2 3 5 6 8 10 13 14 15 15 14 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...L PYLE REQUESTED BY...C HIGHFILL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121217.STONE.01/LZK