FNUS74 KEPZ 021658
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR FLUME RIDGE RX...NM-MEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
958 AM MST WED JAN 2 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1005 MST ON JANUARY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND
EARLY THURSDAY WITH AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM TAPPING
SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND PASSING THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY. SNOW SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP WITH FRONTAL
PASSAGE THURSDAY MORNING BUT THE BEST CHANCE AT THE BURN
AREA WOULD BE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. AT THIS POINT
THE BURN AREA LOOKS TO BE ON THE NORTH END OF THE SNOW
SHIELD AND ACCUMULATIONS LOOK TO BE LIGHT.  HOWEVER..
A SLIGHTLY STRONGER AND SLOWER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM THAN
CURRENTLY FORECAST COULD MEAN HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1700-3100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 KNOTS.
VENTILATION CAT.....POOR (7500 KT-FT)

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....14-19.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 7 KNOTS.
VENTILATION CAT.....POOR (5000 KT-FT)

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) ISOLATED SNOW
                    SHOWERS AFTER 09L THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
                    OF AN INCH OR TWO POSSIBLE BY EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-2500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 11 KNOTS.
VENTILATION CAT.....POOR(25000 KT-FT)

$$
FORECASTER...MACBLAIN
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130102.FLUME.01/EPZ