FNUS74 KEPZ 021818
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR PINE TREE RX...NM-MEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1118 AM MST WED JAN 2 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 MST ON JANUARY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND
EARLY THURSDAY WITH AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM TAPPING
SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND PASSING THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY. SNOW SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP WITH FRONTAL
PASSAGE THURSDAY MORNING BUT THE BEST CHANCE AT THE BURN
AREA WOULD BE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. AT THIS POINT
THE BURN AREA LOOKS TO BE ON THE NORTH END OF THE SNOW
SHIELD AND ACCUMULATIONS LOOK TO BE LIGHT.  HOWEVER..
A SLIGHTLY STRONGER AND SLOWER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM THAN
CURRENTLY FORECAST COULD MEAN HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    BY LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1500-3300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS.
VENTILATION CAT.....POOR (13000 KT-FT)

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF A SHOW SHOWER AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 KNOTS.
VENTILATION CAT.....POOR (2500 KT-FT)

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED
                    SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
                    OF UP TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE BY EVENING.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST AROUND 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-2500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
VENTILATION CAT.....POOR (23000 KT-FT)

$$
FORECASTER...MACBLAIN
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130102.PINET.01/EPZ