FNUS73 KLSX 091349
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHOOTING STAR GLADE PREP...MODNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
749 AM CST WED JAN 9 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CST ON JANUARY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE REGION FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. RAIN SHOULD MOVE
INTO SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND THEN CONTINUE TO
OVERSPREAD THE REST OF THE AREA THURSDAY. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD
BE 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH THE HEAVIEST TOTALS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE ST.
LOUIS METRO AREA. DESPITE THE WARM TEMPERATURES...MIXING HEIGHTS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 2000 FEET. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL
ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 52.
RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS NORTH AT 1 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND. USING 0.3 ADJUSTMENT FACTOR.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS NORTH AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...1500 FT AGL AT
                    MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (2356 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36.
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING EAST 2 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING EAST 5
                    TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59.
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHEAST WIND 2 TO 3 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHEAST WIND 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 35 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (7070 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...BYRD
REQUESTED BY...BRUCE SCHUETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130109.SHOOT.01/LSX