FNUS75 KBOU 101256 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LYNX PASS...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 549 AM MST THU JAN 10 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON JANUARY 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...BRISK SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TODAY... AND WINDS WILL MIX DOWN THIS AFTERNOON. IT WILL BE DRY TODAY...THE APPROACHING STORM WILL SPREAD SNOW ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT. MILD TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO COLDER TEMPERATURES FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 0800...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3100-4100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10-20 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST 30-35 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. VERY GOOD AFTER 1300. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0200...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 14. MAX HUMIDITY........76%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1200-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN 1400-2400 FT AGL UNTIL 0300...THEN 3500-4500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30-40 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR UNTIL 0100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0300...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0400...THEN EXCELLENT. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AFTER 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 15. MIN HUMIDITY........70%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-7100 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 10200-11200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35-40 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...COLDER. SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 5 BELOW. HIGHS AROUND 7. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 4 BELOW. HIGHS AROUND 4. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 4 BELOW. HIGHS AROUND 6. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LYNX PASS. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/10-05 50 0 0 10 66 SSW 9 15 5 1 SW 40 388 SSW 10 3634 P 01/10-06 50 0 0 10 68 SSW 8 14 5 1 SW 41 493 SSW 10 4131 P 01/10-07 50 0 0 13 59 SSW 7 7 4 1 SW 43 597 S 9 4629 P 01/10-08 60 0 0 16 51 SSW 7 7 4 1 SW 44 702 S 8 5126 P 01/10-09 60 0 0 21 41 SSW 8 8 4 1 SW 45 1648 S 15 32610 P 01/10-10 60 0 0 26 33 SSW 9 14 4 1 SW 47 2595 SSW 22 60094 G 01/10-11 74 5 1 30 28 SSW 10 16 4 1 SW 48 3541 SSW 29 87578 G 01/10-12 74 5 1 33 26 SSW 12 20 4 1 SW 52 3823 SW 31105674 V 01/10-13 74 5 1 33 26 SSW 14 22 3 1 SW 54 4105 SW 35123770 V 01/10-14 83 11 2 32 29 SSW 15 24 3 1 SW 53 4388 SW 37141867 V 01/10-15 83 11 2 30 33 SSW 15 24 3 1 SW 46 4050 SW 36127806 V 01/10-16 83 11 2 27 39 SSW 15 24 2 1 SSW 38 3713 SW 35113745 V 01/10-17 79 18 4 24 46 SSW 15 24 2 1 SSW 31 3375 SW 35 99684 G 01/10-18 79 18 4 22 51 SSW 15 23 2 1 SSW 31 2916 SW 32 82715 G 01/10-19 79 18 4 20 56 SSW 14 22 2 1 SW 35 2457 SSW 30 65747 G 01/10-20 80 18 4 19 59 SSW 14 22 2 1 SW 41 1998 SSW 28 48778 F 01/10-21 80 18 4 18 63 SSW 15 23 2 1 SW 49 1576 SSW 26 37571 P 01/10-22 80 18 4 17 66 SSW 15 24 2 1 SSW 60 1153 SSW 25 26364 P 01/10-23 87 41 12 16 70 SSW 16 25 2 1 SSW 71 731 SSW 24 15157 P 01/11-00 87 41 12 16 71 SSW 16 26 2 1 SSW 81 1291 SSW 28 34001 P 01/11-01 87 41 12 15 74 SSW 16 26 2 1 SSW 90 1851 SSW 31 52844 F 01/11-02 87 61 17 15 73 SSW 16 25 2 1 SSW 96 2411 SSW 35 71687 G 01/11-03 87 61 17 14 76 SSW 15 25 2 1 SSW100 3471 SSW 37113477 V 01/11-04 87 61 17 14 74 SW 15 23 2 1 SW101 4531 SW 38155268 E 01/11-05 92 74 59 14 73 SW 14 22 2 1 SW 98 5591 SW 40197058 E 01/11-06 92 74 59 14 72 SW 13 21 2 1 SW 87 7526 SW 39258604 E 01/11-07 92 74 59 14 71 SW 13 20 2 1 SW 73 9462 WSW 39320151 E 01/11-08 92 74 59 14 70 SW 12 18 2 1 SW 55 11397 WSW 38381697 E 01/11-09 92 74 59 13 71 SW 13 21 2 1 WSW 48 11357 WSW 38373274 E 01/11-10 92 74 59 11 75 WSW 15 23 2 1 WSW 44 11317 W 37364851 E 01/11-11 89 67 48 10 76 WSW 16 25 2 1 WSW 41 11277 W 37356429 E 01/11-12 89 67 48 9 77 WSW 17 28 2 1 W 40 11261 W 36348814 E 01/11-13 89 67 48 9 75 WSW 17 28 2 1 W 40 11245 W 35341199 E 01/11-14 89 67 48 8 76 WSW 17 28 2 1 W 39 11229 W 35333584 E 01/11-15 89 67 48 7 78 W 16 26 2 1 W 37 10643 W 35319156 E 01/11-16 89 67 48 5 85 W 15 24 2 1 W 32 10057 W 35304729 E 01/11-17 92 59 36 4 87 W 14 22 2 1 WNW 28 9471 W 36290301 E 01/11-18 92 59 36 3 89 W 13 21 2 1 WNW 24 8715 W 35261140 E 01/11-19 92 59 36 2 90 WSW 12 18 2 1 WNW 21 7959 W 33231980 E 01/11-20 92 59 36 1 91 WSW 10 16 2 1 WNW 17 7204 W 32202819 E 01/11-21 92 59 36 1 87 WSW 9 15 2 1 WNW 15 6921 W 30184133 E 01/11-22 92 59 36 0 87 WSW 9 14 2 1 WNW 14 6638 W 29165446 E 01/11-23 88 54 29 0 83 W 8 13 2 1 WNW 13 6355 W 26146759 V 01/12-00 88 54 29 0 80 WSW 7 7 2 1 WNW 12 6113 W 25132489 V 01/12-01 88 54 29 0 77 SSW 6 6 2 1 WNW 10 5871 W 23118219 V 01/12-02 88 54 29 -1 79 S 5 5 2 1 WNW 10 5629 W 21103948 V 01/12-03 88 54 29 -2 81 SSW 3 3 2 1 NW 10 5100 W 20 89067 G 01/12-04 88 54 29 -4 88 W 3 3 2 1 NW 10 4570 W 18 74186 G 01/12-05 83 27 7 -5 91 W 3 3 2 1 NW 9 4041 W 17 59305 F 01/12-06 83 27 7 -5 89 W 5 5 2 1 NNW 7 4168 W 15 55689 F 01/12-07 83 27 7 -5 87 SW 7 7 2 1 NNE 5 4294 W 14 52073 F 01/12-08 83 27 7 -4 82 SSW 8 13 2 1 NNE 2 4421 W 13 48457 F 01/12-09 83 27 7 -2 77 SSW 7 7 2 1 CALM 5062 W 12 50277 F 01/12-10 83 27 7 -1 76 SSW 5 5 2 1 CALM 5703 W 10 52096 F 01/12-11 85 23 5 1 72 SSW 3 3 2 1 SSE 2 6345 W 9 53916 F 01/12-12 85 23 5 2 70 SW 5 5 2 1 ESE 2 6759 W 9 52721 F 01/12-13 85 23 5 3 68 SW 8 8 2 1 NNE 3 7174 W 8 51525 F 01/12-14 85 23 5 4 65 WSW 9 15 2 1 N 5 7588 W 8 50330 F 01/12-15 85 23 5 4 66 WSW 8 14 2 1 N 7 7579 W 7 45593 F 01/12-16 85 23 5 4 66 W 7 7 2 1 N 10 7570 W 6 40855 F 01/12-17 80 19 4 4 65 WNW 5 5 2 1 NNE 13 7562 W 6 36117 P 01/12-18 80 19 4 3 67 W 3 3 2 1 NNE 14 7352 W 6 34207 P 01/12-19 80 19 4 3 65 S 3 3 2 1 NNE 14 7141 WSW 6 32297 P 01/12-20 80 19 4 2 65 SE 3 3 2 1 NNE 15 6931 SW 5 30388 P 01/12-21 80 19 4 2 61 S 3 3 2 1 NNE 16 6783 WSW 6 33538 P 01/12-22 80 19 4 1 60 SW 2 2 2 1 NNE 18 6635 WSW 7 36688 P 01/12-23 74 9 2 1 56 WSW 2 2 2 1 NNE 20 6487 WSW 7 39839 P 01/13-00 74 9 2 1 54 WSW 2 2 2 1 NNE 22 6252 WSW 8 40707 F 01/13-01 74 9 2 1 52 WSW 2 2 2 1 NNE 23 6017 W 8 41575 F 01/13-02 74 9 2 0 53 WSW 2 2 2 1 N 24 5781 W 8 42443 F 01/13-03 74 9 2 0 53 WSW 2 2 2 1 N 24 5537 W 9 43177 F 01/13-04 74 9 2 -1 55 WSW 2 2 2 1 NNW 23 5292 W 9 43911 F 01/13-05 58 3 1 -1 56 WSW 2 2 2 1 NW 23 5047 W 10 44645 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...RTG REQUESTED BY...LEE NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130110.LYNXP.01/BOU