FNUS75 KBOU 141810 RRA FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN RIDGE PILES...USFS...CORRECTION... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 1110 AM MST MON JAN 14 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON JANUARY 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS COLORADO THROUGH THE DAY. THERE WILL STILL BE A POSSIBILITY OF A FEW FLURRIES OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE SITE. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT WHICH WILL LIMIT SMOKE DISPERSION THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COLD...DROPPING BELOW ZERO AGAIN OVERNIGHT. ON TUESDAY...CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH A CHANCE FOR SNOW. ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MINIMAL. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT...LIMITING SMOKE DISPERSAL. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A SLOW WARMING TREND. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....2 ABOVE TO 5 ABOVE ZERO. MIN HUMIDITY........48-52%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2300...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 2300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....10 BELOW TO 15 BELOW ZERO. MAX HUMIDITY........82-86%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....10-16. MIN HUMIDITY........49-53%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN NORTHWEST 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...NOT AS COLD. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 3. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 3. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 4. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GREEN RIDGE PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/14-08 80 8 2 12 70 SSW 2 2 2 1 WSW 24 778 CALM 1059 P 01/14-09 80 8 2 15 86 SSW 3 3 2 1 WSW 22 2278 WSW 5 15430 P 01/14-10 80 8 2 -6 63 WSW 5 5 2 1 WSW 21 3778 WSW 7 29801 P 01/14-11 60 7 1 0 53 WSW 6 6 2 1 WSW 20 5278 WSW 9 44173 F 01/14-12 60 7 1 1 55 W 7 7 2 1 WSW 17 5750 WSW 10 52760 F 01/14-13 60 7 1 5 48 W 8 8 2 1 W 15 6221 W 12 61347 G 01/14-14 60 7 1 5 49 W 8 13 2 1 WNW 14 6693 W 12 69934 G 01/14-15 60 7 1 4 51 W 8 13 2 1 WNW 14 5723 W 12 59209 F 01/14-16 60 7 1 1 56 W 7 7 2 1 WNW 15 4754 W 12 48483 F 01/14-17 57 4 1 -2 62 W 7 7 2 1 NW 17 3784 W 12 37757 P 01/14-18 57 4 1 -5 69 W 7 7 2 1 NW 20 3028 W 10 28876 P 01/14-19 57 4 1 -8 77 WSW 6 6 2 1 NNW 23 2272 W 9 19994 P 01/14-20 57 4 1 -8 74 WSW 6 6 2 1 N 26 1515 WSW 8 11112 P 01/14-21 57 4 1 10 79 WSW 6 6 2 1 N 32 1196 WSW 9 8917 P 01/14-22 57 4 1 11 80 SW 6 6 2 1 N 38 877 WSW 9 6721 P 01/14-23 67 16 3 12 82 SW 6 6 2 1 N 43 557 WSW 9 4526 P 01/15-00 67 16 3 13 82 SW 6 6 2 1 N 47 514 WSW 9 4058 P 01/15-01 67 16 3 14 83 WSW 6 6 3 1 N 52 471 WSW 9 3590 P 01/15-02 67 16 3 15 86 WSW 6 6 3 1 N 55 428 WSW 8 3123 P 01/15-03 67 16 3 11 70 WSW 7 7 3 1 N 59 673 WSW 8 4663 P 01/15-04 67 16 3 13 78 WSW 7 7 2 1 N 63 919 WSW 8 6204 P 01/15-05 81 25 5 -9 67 WSW 8 13 2 1 N 69 1165 WSW 8 7745 P 01/15-06 81 25 5 -9 72 WSW 8 14 2 1 N 76 1178 WSW 7 7733 P 01/15-07 81 25 5 -7 71 WSW 9 14 2 1 NNE 85 1191 WSW 7 7720 P 01/15-08 81 25 5 -5 71 WSW 9 15 2 1 NNE 94 1204 WSW 7 7708 P 01/15-09 81 25 5 0 65 WSW 10 16 2 1 NNE 94 1754 W 9 16991 P 01/15-10 81 25 5 5 60 WSW 10 16 2 1 NNE 91 2304 NW 12 26275 P 01/15-11 82 29 8 10 55 WSW 10 16 2 1 NNE 85 2854 NNW 14 35559 P 01/15-12 82 29 8 14 50 WSW 10 17 2 1 NNE 81 2965 NNW 14 36846 P 01/15-13 82 29 8 16 49 WSW 10 17 2 1 NNE 76 3077 NNW 14 38134 P 01/15-14 82 29 8 16 51 WSW 10 17 2 1 NNE 73 3188 NNW 14 39421 P 01/15-15 82 29 8 14 56 W 10 17 2 1 NNE 71 2650 NW 13 30410 P 01/15-16 82 29 8 11 64 W 10 17 2 1 NNE 73 2112 WNW 10 21400 P 01/15-17 82 34 13 8 73 W 10 16 2 1 NNE 74 1575 WNW 9 12390 P 01/15-18 82 34 13 7 76 W 10 16 2 1 NNE 73 1455 W 8 10556 P 01/15-19 82 34 13 7 76 W 10 16 2 1 NNE 70 1335 W 7 8722 P 01/15-20 82 34 13 7 76 W 9 15 2 1 NNE 68 1215 W 7 6888 P 01/15-21 82 34 13 6 79 W 9 14 2 1 NNE 66 1052 W 7 6118 P 01/15-22 82 34 13 4 87 W 8 13 2 1 NNE 63 889 WNW 7 5348 P 01/15-23 64 19 4 3 91 W 8 8 2 1 NNE 61 727 WNW 7 4578 P 01/16-00 64 19 4 4 87 W 7 7 2 1 NNE 58 696 WNW 7 4288 P 01/16-01 64 19 4 5 83 W 7 7 2 1 NNE 55 665 NW 7 3999 P 01/16-02 46 19 4 6 79 W 7 7 2 1 NNE 52 634 NW 7 3709 P 01/16-03 46 19 4 5 83 W 7 7 2 1 NNE 49 535 NW 7 3114 P 01/16-04 46 19 4 4 87 W 7 7 2 1 NNE 46 437 NNW 7 2519 P 01/16-05 31 0 0 3 91 W 7 7 2 1 NNE 43 338 NNW 7 1924 P 01/16-06 31 0 0 3 90 W 6 6 2 1 NNE 38 354 NNW 7 2021 P 01/16-07 31 0 0 4 85 NW 5 5 2 1 NNE 32 369 N 7 2117 P 01/16-08 21 0 0 7 76 NNW 3 3 2 1 NNE 28 385 N 7 2214 P 01/16-09 21 0 0 12 64 NW 3 3 2 1 N 24 826 N 8 7282 P 01/16-10 21 0 0 17 56 NW 5 5 2 1 N 22 1267 N 10 12351 P 01/16-11 16 0 0 22 50 NW 6 6 2 1 N 21 1708 N 12 17420 P 01/16-12 16 0 0 26 46 WNW 6 6 2 1 N 20 2063 NNE 13 22025 P 01/16-13 16 0 0 28 46 WNW 6 6 3 1 N 18 2418 NNE 13 26631 P 01/16-14 16 0 0 28 48 WNW 6 6 3 1 N 17 2774 NE 13 31237 P 01/16-15 16 0 0 25 56 WNW 6 6 3 1 N 17 2026 NNE 9 21120 P 01/16-16 16 0 0 21 67 W 5 5 4 1 N 17 1279 NNW 6 11003 P 01/16-17 22 1 0 16 80 W 5 5 4 1 N 17 531 NNW 2 887 P 01/16-18 22 1 0 13 87 W 5 5 4 1 N 17 445 WNW 2 799 P 01/16-19 22 1 0 11 88 WSW 3 3 4 1 N 17 359 WSW 2 710 P 01/16-20 22 1 0 10 83 SW 3 3 4 1 N 16 273 SW 2 622 P 01/16-21 22 1 0 8 82 S 3 3 4 1 N 16 257 SW 2 480 P 01/16-22 22 1 0 7 77 ESE 3 3 3 1 N 16 241 CALM 337 P 01/16-23 18 0 0 6 72 E 3 3 3 1 NNW 17 225 CALM 195 P 01/17-00 18 0 0 6 66 ESE 3 3 3 1 NNW 18 226 SW 2 414 P 01/17-01 18 0 0 6 62 SE 2 2 3 1 NNW 18 228 SW 3 632 P 01/17-02 18 0 0 6 60 SSE 2 2 3 1 NNW 20 230 WSW 5 851 P 01/17-03 18 0 0 5 61 S 2 2 3 1 NNW 21 262 WSW 5 1175 P 01/17-04 18 0 0 4 63 SW 2 2 3 1 NNW 22 295 WSW 6 1500 P 01/17-05 16 0 0 3 69 WSW 2 2 3 1 NW 23 327 WSW 7 1825 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI REQUESTED BY...CASEY CHEESBROUGH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130114.GREEN.01/BOU