FNUS72 KJAX 141005
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUNNS CREEK E2B...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
505 AM EST MON JAN 14 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EST ON JANUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST JUST EAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THROUGH
TUESDAY. WARM SOUTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS LESS
THAN 15 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.
AREAS OF FOG ARE POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT AND EARLY IN THE MORNING...WITH
SOME DENSE FOG IN A FEW LOCATIONS WHERE VISIBILITIES WILL BE LESS THAN
A QUARTER MILE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO
                    12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 9 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 56 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............10 EARLY DECREASING TO 1 BY AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........53     44     37     34     25     22
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     63     73     79     81     77
RH..............100    95     69     52     47     53
20 FT WIND......W 0    S 3    S 6    S 7    SE 8   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....700    500    2300   4000   4000   3300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 0    SW 8   S 13   S 12   S 10   S 9
LVORI...........10     7      3      1      1      1
DISPERSION INDX.1      4      34     56     48     38
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 1 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....27 DECREASING TO 3.
LVORI...............1 EARLY INCREASING TO 10 BY MORNING.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........23     24     23     22     28     34
WEATHER COV.....                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 3   SE 2   S 2    S 1    S 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     5             5
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   1000   400    100    BLW100 BLW100
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9   SE 9   SE 8   S 3    S 1    S 1
LVORI...........1      4      5      6      8      10
DISPERSION INDX.31     14     10     3      2      2

.TUESDAY...

LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 0 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 38 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 54 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 43
                    DECREASING TO 27 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...SHULER
REQUESTED BY...JASON DEPUE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130114.DUNNS.01/JAX