FNUS72 KILM 151130 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR MEYERS 2...TNC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 630 AM EST TUE JAN 15 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE UNSEASONABLY MILD CONDITIONS INTO WEDNESDAY. A STALLED COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CAROLINAS...JUST NORTH AND WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA...WILL EVENTUALLY SNAKE ACROSS THE REGION BY LATE WEDNESDAY. THE MAJORITY OF THE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT...WILL OCCUR AFTER ITS PASSAGE. WEAK GULF COAST LOW PRESSURE ON WEDNESDAY...WILL TRACK ACROSS AND ALONG THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST STATES THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW FOR THE WEEKEND. OF NOTE...SW 30 MPH LOW LEVEL JET AT 1200 FT AGL...WILL MIX OUT BY NOON. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1800-3200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-55429 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............46 47 49 50 49 47 46 44 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................68 70 72 75 76 75 75 73 RH..................77 71 68 63 61 62 64 67 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.5 1.4 2.3 3.0 3.2 2.9 2.5 1.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S SW SW SW SW S SW S TRANSP WIND SPD.....0 12 12 18 13 13 20 13 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...0 16 27 55 40 37 48 23 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH LATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (0-12304 MPH-FT). TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............43 44 48 52 56 61 WEATHER COV......... PATCHY AREAS WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE FOG FOG TSTM COV............ TEMP................70 65 63 62 61 59 RH..................74 86 93 94 96 99 20 FT WIND..........S 6 S 6 S 5 S 5 S 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........1000 BLW100 BLW100 100 200 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND......S 13 S 12 S 0 S 9 S 8 S 0 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...12 0 0 1 1 0 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1900-3100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 10 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-31394 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO FAIR TO GOOD (21505-59684 MPH-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............65 69 73 76 78 78 WEATHER COV.........AREAS PATCHY ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........FOG FOG NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................58 60 67 71 72 70 RH..................99 93 77 69 69 71 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 6 SW 7 SW 10 SW 10 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)........BLW100 600 1600 2700 3100 2500 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 8 SW 8 SW 18 SW 12 SW 12 SW 18 VRATE MPH-FT/1000...0 5 30 31 36 45 $$ FORECASTER...HOEHLER REQUESTED BY...ANGIE CARL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130115.MEYER.01/ILM