FNUS72 KMLB 151824
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROYAL TRAILS AERIAL BURN...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
124 PM EST TUE JAN 15 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON JANUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE OVERNIGHT FORECAST CALLS FOR PATH CY LATE NIGHT
AND EARLY MORNING FOG WITH LIGHT WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
REACHING 100 PERCENT. WITH A FORECAST LVORI OF 9 OR 10...FOG IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME DENSE...MIXING WITH ANY RESIDUAL SMOKE. THIS
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN LOCALIZED VERY LOW VISIBILITIES IN THE AREA
OF S.R. 44.

A REPEAT OF A LOCALIZED DENSE LATE NIGHT FOG/SMOKE MIXTURE SEEMS
LIKELY FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT...HOWEVER A COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO THE
AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE FOLLOWED BY INCREASING NORTHWEST
TO NORTH WINDS FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHTS. THIS SHOULD PREVENT
SIGNIFICANT SETTLING OF SMOKE ALONG S.R. 44 AFTER WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
THURSDAY MORNING.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............9-10.

TIME (EST)      11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A
RH..............87  90  93  93  97  100 100 100 100 95  87  81
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   5   6
20 FT WIND GUST.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
LVORI...............1.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...JOSEPH BISHOP
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130115.ROYAL.01/MLB